Best Bucks vs. Pacers Odds, NBA Player Props & Score Predictions Tonight: March 11
The Milwaukee Bucks opened the season as one of the favorites by the NBA championship odds, but they haven't performed up to expectations this season, and they are in the top half of the Eastern Conference playoff race by just one game.
The team directly behind the Bucks is their opponent tonight, the Indiana Pacers. Neither of these teams has played particularly well lately, with the Bucks on a two-game losing streak and the Pacers dropping three in a row. Therefore, our Bucks vs. Pacers prediction and player props looks at who can bounce back when these teams square off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse tonight at 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT).
💰 Best Bucks vs. Pacers predictions & NBA player props tonight: March 11
Here are my best Bucks vs. Pacers predictions and player props for tonight's NBA matchup with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.
- Game pick: Pacers moneyline (+115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Kyle Kuzma player prop pick: Over 14.5 points (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- AJ Green player prop pick: Over 6.5 points (+110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Taurean Prince player prop pick: Over 7.5 points (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
📊 Bucks vs. Pacers pick & odds: Who will win tonight's NBA matchup?
As of Tuesday morning, the Bucks were favored by 2.5 points to beat the Pacers in tonight's NBA matchup at 7:30 p.m. ET from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indiana. This spread has been moving in the home team's favor all morning, and I'm predicting the Pacers will win and cover the spread (+2.5).
The spread shifted back a little toward Milwaukee during the afternoon at some of our best sportsbooks, getting to -3.5 at one point. However, it's rebounded and returned to -2.5 now in the hours before tipoff.
🔢 Bucks vs. Pacers odds & betting lines
Here are the latest Bucks vs. Pacers odds and betting lines from our best live betting sites.
🎯 Bucks vs. Pacers score prediction: Pacers 121, Bucks 118
First, let's look at the total for this game. It's been moving up from an opening number of 232, and it looks like it'll continue to trend in that direction up until tipoff. Therefore, let's go with a total Over the 234.5 available at our best NBA betting sites; I landed on 239.
Next, let's handicap the spread. This was a bit more difficult because I like the Pacers to cover more than I like them to win outright. I bet them at +3.5 earlier this morning, but I'm not especially confident that they'll win by a significant margin.
Therefore, using the 239 total and a three-point win for the Pacers, I predict Indiana will beat Milwaukee by a final score of Pacers 121, Bucks 118.
Best bet: Pacers ML (+115 via bet365)
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💰 Best Bucks vs. Pacers player prop bet odds & expert picks: March 11
Here are my best Bucks vs. Pacers player prop bet odds and expert picks for tonight's NBA matchup. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.
🏀 Best Kyle Kuzma prop pick: Over 14.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -105 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.52)
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Kuzma's points Over served as one of my best bets across the entire NBA today, so you know I had to include it here, too. Here's what I wrote in my best NBA player props today:
Kuzma isn't exactly thriving with his new team, which he joined ahead of the trade deadline. Once known for his scoring abilities, Kuzma is averaging just 14.8 points per game with the Bucks, and he wasn't faring much better earlier this season before leaving the Washington Wizards.
This is a player who was averaging 20-plus points as recently as last season, though, and he seemed to be heating up toward the end of February before cooling off recently. We'll use this recent lack of scoring as a buy opportunity on his points Over for tonight's game.
Kuzma is projected to score 16.9 points. The break-even price for this Over is right around -160, so I'd play this to -125 before I'd leave it alone. Fortunately, BetMGM offers a very good price, as FanDuel is already at -130.
📊 Best Kyle Kuzma prop bet odds
🏀 Best AJ Green prop pick: Over 6.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +110 via bet365 ($10 to win $11)
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Green dropped 18 points three games ago in a 30-point win over the Dallas Mavericks. The day before that, I bet on him to go Over 8.5 points at this same price. However, Green has combined to score just two points in his last two games, which has driven his point total down to 6.5 tonight. That's where we'll buy the Over.
If Green's total was still trading at 7.5 at minus money or 8.5, we wouldn't make this bet based on his projection of 8.2 points. However, at 6.5 with +110 odds, we're getting nearly 30% positive expected value on this bet.
The break-even on Over 6.5 based on that projection is -160, but if this moved to 7.5, it'd be only -108 and we wouldn't touch the Over. You can bet this Over at any of our best sports betting sites, as they all sit at +110.
📊 Best AJ Green prop bet odds
🏀 Best Taurean Prince prop pick: Over 7.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -120 via BetMGM ($10 to win $8.33)
I'm all about Overs on relatively low point totals tonight, and that continues with this one on Prince.
Most of our best sports betting apps have Prince's points total set at 8.5, and though the odds are as good as +100, I'm not interested in playing the Over on that number. However, at 7.5, I'm much more interested.
Prince is projected to score 9.1 points tonight, which means we're getting better than 9% +EV on this bet. It's not the most value you'll see in one of these articles, but I want to attack this because it is a rogue line. I'm particularly interested because Prince's points average this season sits right around this number, so let's take advantage of what I deem to be a mistake by BetMGM.
📊 Best Taurean Prince prop bet odds
🚑 Bucks vs. Pacers injuries
Here are the latest injuries for tonight's Bucks vs. Pacers matchup, which will update in real time.
📺 How to watch Bucks vs. Pacers tonight
📅 Date: Tuesday, March 11
🕗 Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
📺 TV: TNT
💻 Streaming: Max
❓ Bucks vs. Pacers FAQs
Who is favored to win Bucks vs. Pacers?
The Bucks are as short as -135 on the moneyline, which means they have an implied probability of 57.45% of beating the Pacers tonight.
What are the odds for Bucks vs. Pacers?
The Bucks serve as -2.5 favorites, and the total is hovering around 234.5.
What time is Bucks vs. Pacers tonight?
Tonight's Bucks vs. Pacers game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET.
How to watch Bucks vs. Pacers
You can watch Bucks vs. Pacers on TNT or stream it on Max.
🏀 Best NBA betting sites
Looking to bet on the NBA tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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