Our Best NBA Player Prop Bets, Feb. 27: Expert Picks & Predictions for Tonight

With five NBA matchups on tap tonight, we’re locking in our best NBA player props today, spotlighting some of the league’s biggest stars. Leading the charge is Luka Doncic, who looks to guide the Los Angeles Lakers against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Doncic isn’t the only marquee name in action - several NBA MVP odds-caliber players will take the floor as teams ramp up their playoff push in the season’s second half.

💰 Best NBA player prop bets & odds tonight: Feb. 27

Here are my best NBA player prop bets and odds tonight with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

• Draymond Green player prop pick: Under 19.5 points + rebounds + asssists (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jamal Murray player prop pick: Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Kevin Durant player prop pick: Over 26.5 points (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
• Luka Doncic player prop pick: Under 3.5 made 3-pointers (-136 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

🎯 Best NBA player prop predictions & expert picks today

Here's a breakdown of my best NBA player prop predictions and expert picks today. Check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.

🏀 Draymond Green (Warriors) Under 19.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -115 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $8.70)

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When Draymond Green isn't busy saying ridiculous things into a microphone, he can usually be found looking like a shell of his former self. However, the 34-year-old has been turning back the clock lately, which is why we're going to take advantage of this surprisingly high PRA line at our best sports betting sites.

The last time Green played the Orlando Magic, he was about as effective on the offensive end as he was playing tight end at Michigan State, and the veteran finished with 16 PRA. I expect another lackluster game for him against an Orlando team allowing the fourth-fewest points per game to his position (20.38), the fewest rebounds per game (13.25), and the lowest assists per game (3.23).

📊 Draymond Green player prop odds vs. Magic

🏀 Jamal Murray (Nuggets) Over 2.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -102 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $9.80)

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Jamal Murray has been money from behind the arc lately, including hitting seven threes during a 55-point performance against the Portland Trail Blazers. While he hasn't been lighting up the box score with his point totals in Murray's last two outings, the guard has continued to cook from deep. That's why I'm targeting his 3-point shooting against the Milwaukee Bucks.

Murray is 31-for-51 (60.7%) from 3-point range in his last six games, and he's nailed at least four threes in five of six contests. The Nuggets will want the Canadian to keep shooting against a Bucks squad that's been struggling against point guards this season, allowing the most points per game to them (26.0) and 3.12 made 3-pointers per outing. 

📊 Jamal Murray player prop odds vs. Bucks

🏀 Kevin Durant (Suns) Over 26.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM (bet $10 to win $9.09)

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Kevin Durant has been dominating the NBA for so long that the only player selected before him in the 2007 NBA Draft, former Ohio State star Greg Oden, spent seven years in the league and hasn't been around for over a decade. And yet, Durant is sixth in the NBA in points per game (26.9) at 36 years old. 

The 15-time All-Star has put up at least 27 points in 22 of 45 contests this season, and he should get the opportunity to do that again against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pels are allowing the most points per game in the NBA (24.86), and the most 3-pointers (3.70) to small forwards with a defense that's third-last in the league in rating (118.5).

📊 Kevin Durant player prop odds vs. Pelicans

🏀 Luka Doncic (Lakers) Under 3.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -136 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $7.35)

Coming off a triple-double performance against the team that inexplicably traded him in his prime, Doncic looks right at home while dawning the same colors that past superstars like Magic Johnson and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar wore. But despite his eye-popping play lately, the five-time All-Star continues to struggle from distance.

Doncic has hit more than 3.5 threes just once in five games since making his Lakers debut while going 10-for-40 from deep (25%). Those problems could continue tonight against a Timberwolves defense that gives up the fourth-fewest made threes per game (12.7) and allows the sixth-lowest 3-point percentage (35.1%).

📊 Luka Doncic player prop odds vs. Timberwolves

🏀 Best NBA betting sites

Looking to bet on NBA player props tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.

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