Our Best NBA Player Prop Bets Tonight: Expert Picks & Predictions for Feb. 26

We're offering our best NBA player prop bets for today's action, with four picks keeping you locked in for the entire night.

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: February 26, 2025 4:36 PM EST • 5 minute read

It's hump day, and there's a full NBA slate to help celebrate the incoming second half of the week.

We'll do our best to keep the fun going all night, so our best NBA player props today feature picks from the 7 p.m. ET games in addition to the later action.

It all starts in New York with the plummeting Philadelphia 76ers visiting the Knicks, and the night concludes in Houston for an all-Texas standoff featuring the San Antonio Spurs and Rockets.

💰 Best NBA player prop bets & odds tonight: Feb. 26

Here are my best NBA player prop bets and odds tonight with my pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. You can also check out our NBA player prop odds tool for the latest NBA odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

Paul George player prop pick: Over 16.5 points (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Tobias Harris player prop pick: Over 1.5 assists (+125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Isaiah Collier player prop pick: Under 12.5 points (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jeremy Sochan player prop pick: Over 7.5 points (-125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

🎯 Best NBA player prop predictions & expert picks today

Here's a breakdown of my best NBA player prop predictions and expert picks today. Check out the rest of our NBA picks along with our guide on how to bet on the NBA.

🏀 Paul George (76ers) Over 16.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM (bet $10 to win $9.52)

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Paul George and the 76ers are in the midst of an all-time collapse, as they've lost eight straight while falling to 12th in the Eastern Conference. The forward hasn't helped the team avoid all those defeats with his play, as he's averaging just 16.2 points per game this season, his fewest since the 2012-13 campaign.

However, he's coming off a 19-point outing two nights ago in a blowout defeat during which he played only 30 minutes, and I expect him to put up similar numbers tonight.

George is projected for nearly 20 points against the Knicks, so we're getting a ton of value on him to go Over 16.5.

The break-even price on Over 16.5 points based on that projection is -195, so as long as this number is hanging around, you can feel free to bet it. However, some of our best sports betting sites have already moved to 17.5. If you're betting the Over on that total, I wouldn't play it at odds any shorter than around -125.

📊 Paul George player prop odds vs. Knicks

🏀 Tobias Harris (Pistons) Over 1.5 assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +125 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $12.50)

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Imagine someone told you back in July when Tobias Harris signed with the Detroit Pistons that he'd be in a playoff spot and the 76ers would be cratering to the bottom of the standings.

Harris is by no means the star of the show in Detroit, but he's playing his role. He gives the team roughly 32 solid minutes per night, limits turnovers, and scores relatively efficiently. And although he averages just 2.3 assists per game, we don't need him to manage any more than that for this bet tonight.

In fact, Harris is projected to record right around that number while sitting at 2.2 assists for Wednesday's game.

You might think that doesn't sound like a significant cushion from the two he needs to clear this total, but this is about the odds. This should be trading at minus money at that projection. In fact, the break-even point is -165, so we do get a massive cushion thanks to this +125 price.

I'd play this right up to around -115 or so.

📊 Tobias Harris player prop odds vs. Celtics

🏀 Isaiah Collier (Jazz) Under 12.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -110 via bet365 (bet $10 to win $9.09)

Isaiah Collier has been decent during his rookie campaign, and he's been scoring more lately since becoming a starter for the Utah Jazz. However, this is a big number for him.

Collier is averaging only 8.5 points per game in his 24 starts, and his projection for tonight is even higher at 9.1.

We're getting great value on Collier to go Under this inflated total tonight based on that number. And when I say great, I really mean great.

What's the break-even price on Under 12.5 points based on a projection of 9.1? That would be a whopping -356. Even if our best sports betting apps move this total to 11.5, the "fair" price on the Under is -260. You could play Under 10.5 at odds as short as -135 and still get value on this prop.

The sportsbooks are severely overvaluing Collier on Wednesday.

📊 Isaiah Collier player prop odds vs. Kings

🏀 Jeremy Sochan (Spurs) Over 7.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -125 via DraftKings (bet $10 to win $8)

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Sometimes when you put together bets like these ones, you question if the best sportsbooks are really as smart as we make them seem. They are smart, for the record, but the oddsmakers still make mistakes. And we're hunting those mistakes.

Jeremy Sochan's points total is a perfect example of that. He's averaging 11.4 points per game this season, though Sochan is sitting at only nine per outing when coming off the bench, as he's been doing that lately. However, correct me if I'm wrong, but nine is still more than the eight he'd need to clear this total.

Additionally, Sochan is projected to finish with 11.2 points against the Houston Rockets tonight. Based on that projection, this total should be sitting at 9.5, and it's already moved to 8.5 at some of our sites with the best sportsbook promos.

Therefore, let's act quickly and get this number at DraftKings. If you are betting Over 8.5, though, you can do so to odds as short as -145.

📊 Jeremy Sochan player prop odds vs. Rockets

🏀 Best NBA betting sites

Looking to bet on NBA player props tonight? Here are our best NBA betting sites as determined by our expert team at Sportsbook Review, along with our best sportsbook promos available for tonight's NBA games.

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Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Written by:
Andrew Brennan

Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.