NBA Player Props Today: Best Prop Bets & Expert Picks for Friday

Another night of NBA Cup action means more NBA player props today.

Friday’s 11-game slate feature a doubleheader on Amazon Prime between the Rockets vs. Spurs and Warriors vs. Nuggets. My NBA best bets provide betting angles for Stephon Castle, Cooper Flagg, Ajay Mitchell, and Nikola Jokic.

🏀 NBA player props for Nov. 7

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

💰 Best NBA player props today

⬆️ Stephon Castle player prop: Over 5.5 assists (-141) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

I have a difficult time understanding why even one shop is comfortable setting Stephon Castle’s assists prop at 5.5. But DraftKings’ discount is worth grabbing, as the rest of our best sports betting sites have set the line at 6.5.

Castle is averaging 5.7 assists per game on roughly a dozen potential dimes this season. But since Dylan Harper went down this week, Castle is averaging 6.5 assists on 15.5 potential dimes over the past two contests.

This is currently Castle’s show to run, and I’m taking advantage before the entire market catches on. A $10 bet at -141 odds could bring home $7.09 in profit with an implied probability of 58.51%.

Our Juan Carlos Blanco is targeting Castle Under 1.5 3-pointers as part of his Rockets vs. Spurs player props.

⬆️ Cooper Flagg player prop: Over 6.5 rebounds (-154) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Since the Dallas Mavericks lost Anthony Davis to injury, Cooper Flagg has slid up the lineup into a more natural position. The result has been most noticeable on the glass, as he’s closer to the rim without Davis.

Flagg has averaged eight rebounds per game over the last four outings without Davis. That’s up from his season average of 6.6 rebounds per contest, which explains why I’m willing to pay the -154 juice (60.63%) to win $6.49 on a $10 bet.

I wouldn’t be surprised if FanDuel follows the rest of the best sports betting apps by bumping this line up to 7.5 before tipoff.

⬆️ Ajay Mitchell player prop: Over 14.5 points (-127) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

This NBA player props column continues to make money off of Oklahoma City Thunder guard Ajay Mitchell. It’s how I’m coping by not placing a Sixth Man of the Year bet on him, as he’s now the obvious front-runner.

Mitchell could find himself in the starting lineup again on Friday, as Luguentz Dort is listed questionable. Even if he has to come off the bench. Mitchell is averaging 16.7 points per game and has cleared this scoring prop in six of his nine outings.

Considering this matchup against the Sacramento Kings could be lopsided, I like this Over a lot at 14.5 points. Most books have set his scoring prop at 15.5. A winning $10 wager will net a $7.87 profit with an implied probability of 55.95%.

⬇️ Nikola Jokic player prop: Under 27.5 points (-123) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Warriors will be without Stephen Curry, while Jimmy Butler is questionable. As such, Nuggets center Nikola Jokic might not have to do too much for his team to win tonight’s game as a double-digit favorite.

Even if the Warriors were at full strength, I’d like this Under. Jokic hasn’t been as aggressive as a scorer this season. He’s averaging 24.1 points on 15.1 field-goal attempts per game. He averaged 29.6 points and 19.5 shots per contest last year.

This prop is as low as 26.5 at BetMGM. DraftKings’ -123 price tag (55.16%) to win $8.13 on a $10 wager is a solid deal.

Our Corey Scott is also focusing on Jokic in his Warriors vs. Nuggets player props.