🏀 NBA Player Props Today: March 27 Best Bets for Doncic, Flagg & Podziemski
📡 SBR Edge: Doncic Continues MVP Campaign Tonight
My NBA player props today feature Brandin Podziemski Over 1.5 three-pointers made (-172), as he faces a Wizards team that allows a high 3-point percentage. My next NBA best bet is Cooper Flagg Over 12.5 rebounds + assists (-135). He has been stuffing the stat sheet lately as he competes with Kon Knueppel for Rookie of the Year. I wrap up my top picks for today with Luka Doncic Over 15.5 rebounds + assists (-104), as he has a great matchup against Brooklyn tonight.
🏀 Best NBA player props tonight: March 27
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski Over 1.5 three-pointers made | -172 via DraftKings | 1.72u -> 1u | Wizards allow 9th-highest 3-point percentage |
| Cooper Flagg Over 12.5 rebounds + assists | -135 via BetMGM | 1.35u -> 1u | Has recorded 13+ rebounds + assists in 3 straight |
| Luka Doncic Over 15.5 rebounds + assists | -104 via DraftKings | 1.04u -> 1u | Nets rank bottom 5 in rebounding + assists stats |
Total wagered: 4.11 units | Max profit: 3 units
💰 Best NBA player prop bet tonight
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Brandin Podziemski Over 1.5 three-pointers made (-172)
I'm expecting Podziemski to stay hot from 3-point land tonight. He has made two 3-pointers in back-to-back games, and now he faces a Wizards team allowing the ninth-highest 3-point percentage (36.4%) in the NBA.
Podziemski is attempting a season-high 6.2 three-pointers per game in March, and if he puts up six shots from deep tonight, we'll likely cash this bet. DraftKings lists Podziemski Over 1.5 three-pointers at -172, but this bet is good up to -205 on the best sports betting sites.
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Spread: Warriors -14.5 (-106 via FanDuel)
- How to watch Wizards vs. Warriors: Monumental Sports Network, NBC Sports Bay Area
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Cooper Flagg has the second-shortest odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year.
Cooper Flagg Over 12.5 rebounds + assists (-135)
The only thing Dallas has to play for right now is helping Flagg win Rookie of the Year. He has better stats than Kon Knueppel in almost every category, except 3-point shooting (and team record). Flagg is going to need to continue putting up big numbers if he wants to overtake Knueppel in the odds.
He has recorded 13 or more rebounds + assists in three straight games and is averaging 14.7 over the last two weeks. Flagg Over 12.5 rebounds + assists is -135 at BetMGM, but I would still play this up to -160 on the best NBA betting sites.
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Spread: Trail Blazers -10.5 (-110 via FanDuel)
- How to watch Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: NBA TV
Luka Doncic Over 15.5 rebounds + assists (-104)
I love this matchup for Doncic tonight. The Nets rank last in the NBA in rebounds per away game (47.5) and allow the fifth-most assists per possession (0.271).
Meanwhile, Doncic ranks fourth in the NBA in rebounds + assists per home game (16.1) and has put up 19 or more rebounds + assists in three straight at Crypto.com Arena. DraftKings has Doncic Over 15.5 rebounds + assists at -104, but this bet is good up to -120 on the best sports betting apps.
- Tipoff: 10:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: Lakers -16.5 (-108 via FanDuel)
- How to watch Nets vs. Lakers: Spectrum SportsNet, YES Network
🚀 Best NBA parlay picks today
The most likely path to Podziemski hitting three or more 3-pointers is getting him as many minutes as possible. If the Warriors are covering -14, there's a strong chance he sits out much of the fourth quarter. With that in mind, let's play both of these bets together at a better-than-fair payout.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet tonight
- Wizards +14
- Brandin Podziemski Over 2.5 three-pointers made
Best odds: +440 via bet365 (0.23u -> 1u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 76-83-3 | -10.28 units ❌ | -5.4% ❌ |
| Player props | 73-69-3 | -9.57 units ❌ | -5.2% ❌ |
| Spreads | 1-0 | +1.5 units ✅ | 87% ✅ |
| Parlays | 2-14 | -2.2 units ❌ | -45.11% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting NBA player props today
I'm allocating 4.11 units on tonight's slate, which is roughly what I'd typically risk across three player props. I'm confident directionally in all of these bets, though none are priced too far from where I'd set the lines myself. After a losing week, I'm focused on gradually building back to even without getting too aggressive (unless I have a significant edge).
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