🏀 NBA Player Props Today: Best Bets & Prop Picks for Sunday, March 1
Last Updated: March 1, 2026 11:27 AM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
Sunday’s 11-game slate will get started with a matinee matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks, followed by a showdown between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets. We also get an Eastern Conference battle between the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers.
To prepare for a fun day of hoops, here are my NBA player props today as part of Sunday’s NBA best bets.
🏀 Best NBA player props today: March 1
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic, G, Lakers | Over 9.5 first-quarter points (-115) | 1.15u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Saddiq Bey, F, Pelicans | Under 5.5 rebounds (-125) | 1.25u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Naz Reid, C, Timberwolves | Under 22.5 points + rebounds + assists | 1.14u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 3.54 units | Max profit: 3 units
💰 Best NBA player prop bet today
Luka Doncic Over 9.5 first-quarter points (-115) vs. Kings
After hitting on a Luka Doncic combo prop play yesterday, I’m now pivoting to Doncic’s scoring in the opening period against the Sacramento Kings. For one, bet365’s line being 9.5 is a deal, considering Doncic averages 11.7 first-quarter points and has reached double figures in the opening period for 70.2% of his games this year.
In addition, the Kings are a horrible defensive team (28th in defensive rating), and Doncic has averaged 13.3 first-quarter points in his previous four games on the second night of a back-to-back. I love this Over as a five-star play.
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Saddiq Bey Under 5.5 rebounds (-125) at Clippers
Saddiq Bey has made the most of a growing injury report for the New Orleans Pelicans. He’s stepped into a major role, scoring 66 points over his last two games, both against the Utah Jazz.
However, he’s only grabbed five rebounds in each of the past two outings. He’s now failed to clear this rebound line in 16 of his previous 25 games.
I don’t believe Bey will have much success on the glass against the Los Angeles Clippers, who rank seventh-best in rebounds allowed. He grabbed four boards in his battle with the Clippers on Oct. 31. This Under is as high as -140 in the market, so give me bet365’s bargain.
Naz Reid Under 22.5 points + rebounds + assists (-114) at Nuggets
As explained in my Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props, I’m fading Naz Reid today and as the NBA Sixth Man of the Year favorite.
Reid has faltered of late, averaging 11.1 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 2.2 assists. He’s only cleared this PRA line twice in nine matchups. And he’s often struggled against Denver, failing to clear this line in 13 of his previous 16 head-to-head meetings.
This line is -115 at most of the best sports betting sites, with FanDuel offering the best price at -114.
💡 How I'm betting NBA player props today
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
The Lakers are playing the second night of a back-to-back following their 129-101 road win over the Golden State Warriors. It means their injury report won’t be clear until closer to tipoff, but I could see a star like LeBron James getting the night off.
If that’s the case, Doncic’s props are probably being a tad undervalued. I prefer his first-quarter markets, as the Lakers could always roll past the Kings in another convincing victory. That’s why Doncic’s first-quarter points prop is my favorite play of Sunday.
🚀 Best NBA parlay picks today
I’ve included all three of my favorite player props in today’s parlay. In addition, I’ve added the Lakers’ moneyline price tag as a leg in the parlay. I don’t feel the need to include a 12-point spread, especially since it could move when the Lakers release their injury report.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet today
- Luka Doncic Over 9.5 first-quarter points (-155)
- Lakers moneyline (-700)
- Saddiq Bey Under 5.5 rebounds (-137)
- Naz Reid Under 22.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115)
Best odds: +454 via DraftKings (0.1u -> 0.45u)
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Shane Thurston X social