🏀 NBA Player Props Tonight: Expert Picks for Flagg, LeBron & Curry (April 7)

🏀 Best NBA player props tonight: April 7

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

Total wagered: 3.32 units | Max profit: 3 units

💰 Best NBA player prop bet tonight

Cooper Flagg is a -195 betting favorite in the NBA Rookie of the Year odds.

Cooper Flagg Over 25.5 points (-125) at Clippers

Flagg is on a historic run, and the only thing Dallas has to play for right now is helping him win Rookie of the Year.

While he has scored 45+ in back-to-back games, the greater indicator that he'll stay aggressive tonight is that he has attempted 19 or more shots in four straight.

We can't guarantee points, but if we're confident that he'll take 19+ shots for a fifth straight game, it's likely that he'll score 26+. BetMGM lists his Over at 25.5 points (-125), but this bet is good up to -150 on the best sports betting sites.

Cooper Flagg player prop trends

Here’s a look at how Cooper Flagg has performed recently, as well as against the Clippers:

Flagg hasn't been a huge scoring threat against the Clippers in his rookie season, but the Rookie of the Year race with the end of the regular season approaching should make him more aggressive than in past meetings.

🔥 More NBA player prop picks

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Stephen Curry Over 23.5 points (-118) vs. Kings

I was wrong about Curry initially. I thought that the Warriors would be conservative with him coming off an injury and that he wouldn't be as aggressive in his return - that's not what happened.

His line was set at 19.5 on Sunday, and he scored 29 points on 11-of-21 shooting, including 5-of-10 from beyond the arc. Curry is ramping up quickly for the NBA Play-In Tournament and should score 24+ against the NBA's 28th-ranked defense. His Over is listed at 23.5 points (-118) at FanDuel, but I would play this up to -140 on the best NBA betting sites.

LeBron James Over 9.5 assists (+112) vs. Thunder

The four players who average the most assists per game on the Lakers are Doncic, James, Austin Reaves, and Marcus Smart - and three of them are out tonight.

James will likely lead the Lakers in usage rate tonight, and he has excelled as a distributor when L.A. is short-handed. He has recorded 10+ assists in each of his last five games without Doncic, including a 15-assist performance against the Mavericks in Dallas on Sunday. FanDuel lists this bet at +108, but I would play it up to -105 on the best sports betting apps.

🎟️ Most-bet NBA player props tonight

Here's my analysis of the most-bet NBA player props tonight (h/t BetMGM):

Leonard Miller is coming off a big game on Sunday, finishing with 27 combined points and rebounds (17 points, 10 rebounds).

However, he has gone over this line just twice over his last seven games. I would personally lean Under, with the best line - 26.5 (-107) - available at Caesars.

🚀 Best NBA parlay picks tonight

One of the main concerns with betting Curry Over 23.5 points is that he would play fewer minutes in the fourth quarter if the Warriors are covering -14. Parlaying the Kings' spread with Curry's Over creates a scenario where we can all but guarantee that he will play a full allotment of minutes.

(Note: I haven't bet this parlay yet, as I'm waiting for the odds to reach +300 or greater.)

💵 My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.

💡 How I'm betting NBA player props tonight

I'm allocating 3.32 units for the bets in this article, which is what I would usually risk on three player props.

While I'm confident in all of these bets directionally, they aren't priced too far from where I'd set them. If I thought I had a larger edge, I would risk up to 2.5 units per bet - or up to 5 units in a once-in-a-year type scenario. I treat 1 unit as 1% of my bankroll.