NBA Player Props & Best Bets Tonight: Best Prop Picks for Friday, Jan. 16

Kawhi Leonard leads my NBA player props for tonight in his return to Toronto.
Cleveland Cavaliers guard Jaylon Tyson (20) goes up for a dunk as we break down our NBA player props & best bets tonight.
Pictured: Cleveland Cavaliers guard Jaylon Tyson (20) goes up for a dunk as we break down our NBA player props & best bets tonight. Photo by David Dermer-Imagn Images
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My NBA player props tonight focus on Kawhi Leonard, Jaylon Tyson, Johnny Furphy, and Alex Sarr.

Friday’s NBA best bets feature the Philadelphia 76ers hosting the Cleveland Cavaliers, the New Orleans Pelicans facing the Indiana Pacers, the Washington Wizards visiting the Sacramento Kings, and Leonard’s Los Angeles Clippers taking on the Toronto Raptors.


🏀 NBA player props tonight: Jan. 16

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

Player Prop bet Best odds Confidence
Jaylon Tyson, G, Cavaliers Over 13.5 points -105 via BetMGM ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Johnny Furphy, G, Pacers Over 5.5 rebounds +112 via DraftKings ⭐⭐⭐
Alex Sarr, C, Wizards Under 18.5 points -115 via bet365 ⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best NBA player prop tonight: Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) Over 2.5 assists (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Check out all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

"Editor's note: Kawhi Leonard has been ruled out since this article was first published."

Leonard is averaging 3.7 assists per game this season, clearing this line in 17 of his 21 matchups. Leonard’s assist total hasn’t closed lower than 3.5 since Dec. 11.

Basically, bet365 is providing a bargain to take -125 on Over 2.5 assists. This same ticket costs -190 at BetMGM. The Raptors rank third in assists allowed, but Leonard has averaged 3.8 dimes against teams ranked in the top five in assists allowed this season.


🔥 More NBA player prop picks

Jaylon Tyson (Cavaliers) Over 13.5 points (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Cavaliers will be without Darius Garland and Sam Merrill in tonight's matchup against the 76ers, which should create more opportunities for Tyson to make an impact.

Tyson has played six games without Garland and Merrill this year, averaging 20.2 points on 12.7 shots with a 20.3% usage. He’s scored at least 15 points in all six matchups, with his closing line for this point total being as high as 13.5 thrice.

Corey Scott targets the Over on another Cavaliers guard with his Cavaliers vs. 76ers player props.

Johnny Furphy (Pacers) Over 5.5 rebounds (+112) ⭐⭐⭐

If you thought I was going to stop playing Furphy’s rebounds prop because it climbed from 4.5 to 5.5, think again.

Since entering the Pacers starting lineup on Dec. 27, Furphy is averaging 5.9 rebounds per game. 

He’s cleared this line in all four matchups against opposing teams that ranked 14th or worse in rebounds allowed over that span. At the same time, he’s finished Under in five of the six contests against teams ranked 11th or better in rebounds allowed.

The Pelicans are 23rd in rebounds allowed, suggesting Furphy has a good chance of cashing another ticket tonight.

Alex Sarr (Wizards) Under 18.5 points (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Coming off a four-point performance against the Clippers, Sarr has a point total of 18.5. And it’s almost entirely based on a favorable matchup against the Kings.

The problem with inflating lines too much based on matchups is that it doesn’t always translate to success. Sarr has had a point total of 18.5 or higher only twice since December, scoring 7 points against the Charlotte Hornets and 14 against the Pelicans. He’s averaging 15.9 points per game this year.

Scott features more NBA bets in his Timberwolves vs. Rockets player props.


🎟️ Most-bet NBA player props tonight

Betting insights via BetMGM.

# Player Team Bet Odds
1 Trey Murphy III Pelicans Over 28.5 points + rebounds -135
2 Ayo Dosunmu Bulls Over 20.5 points + rebounds + assists -110
3 Michael Porter Jr. Nets Over 25.5 points -125
4 Naz Reid Timberwolves Under 5.5 rebounds -150
5 Zion Williamson Pelicans Over 30.5 points + rebounds -115

🚀 NBA parlay picks

💵 Best NBA parlay tonight

  • Kawhi Leonard Over 2.5 assists (-160) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jaylon Tyson Over 13.5 points (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Johnny Furphy Over 5.5 rebounds (+104) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Alex Sarr Under 18.5 points (-125) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +974 via FanDuel ($10 to win $97.40)


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