🏀 NBA Player Props & Best Bets Tonight: Harden, Cunningham, Jokic Featured in Five-Game Slate
Friday brings a star-filled five-game schedule, and I've found three NBA player props I absolutely love ahead of the 7:00 p.m. ET tipoff.
I’ve circled James Harden, Cade Cunningham, and Nikola Jokic as my top plays for tonight - we're in for four total units ($200). Let's fill those pockets for the weekend, shall we?
🏀 NBA player props: Feb. 27
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| Player | Prop bet | Best odds | Unit size |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden, Cavaliers | Under 21.5 points | -110 via FanDuel | 2u to win 1.81u |
| Cade Cunningham, Pistons | Over 25.5 points | -114 via FanDuel | 1u to win 0.87u |
| Nikola Jokic, Nuggets | 2+ made 3-pointers | -186 via FanDuel | 1u to win 0.53u |
Total wagered: 4 units | Max profit: 3.21 units
💰 Best NBA player prop: Fade injured James Harden (-110)
Check out all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
I'll hand it to Harden, he's tough as hell playing through a broken thumb - but that doesn't mean we should be riding him. In fact, he's an easy fade at this number. Harden has gone over 21 points just twice all month, and is now one drive or slap to the thumb from taking an elongated seat on the bench. I have this priced closer to -130, so let's take this value and run. Fade him with confidence as our best, two-unit play.
🔥 More NBA player prop picks
Cunningham stays hot vs. Cavs tonight (-114)
Cleveland is one of the better defensive teams in the NBA, but if Harden is the primary defender on Cunningham tonight, expect him to explode for 30 or more. Cade's coming off an efficient 11 of 15 from the floor against the Thunder, and if he stays hot, he'll fly over 25.5 points tonight. I'd play this all the way down to -120.
Jokic anchors our parlay, sinks two from deep (-186)
Yes, I know -186 betting odds isn't anything to write home about, but this is a perfect play to squeeze some extra juice out of our three-leg parlay, as I have this priced closer to -220. Jokic has drained at least two 3-pointers in three of four games this month, and is coming off a 13-attempt game against the Celtics. While we likely won't see that type of volume again (he averages five attempts per game this month), I still love this play.
💡 How I'm betting the NBA slate
Friday's card is built around either matchup edges based off mismatches I’ve identified, or fading a potential injury. Unit sizes are adjusted based on where I see the strongest value. In the case of Harden, he's been more of a facilitator than scorer since his arrival in Cleveland, and I'm comfortable exposing two units based off that information and his broken thumb. I'm using $50 as my unit size, meaning I'm in for $200 today. If we have a good couple of weeks moving into the stretch run, it might be time to move our unit size to $75.
If you're looking for the do's and don'ts of bankroll management, our LJ Blut has you covered.
🚀 NBA parlay picks
💵 Best NBA parlay for Thursday
- Harden Under 21.5 points (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Cunningham Over 25.5 points (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jokic 2+ made 3-pointers (-186) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +451 via FanDuel (1u to win 4.51u)
🔮 NBA futures odds
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