Mystics vs. Lynx Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets Today: Aug. 8

The Minnesota Lynx have the league's best record, but they're without star Napheesa Collier once again. Does that affect our Mystics vs. Lynx prediction?
Mystics vs. Lynx Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets Today: Friday, Aug. 8
Pictured: Washington Mystics guard Brittney Sykes looks towards the ball after losing control against the Minnesota Lynx as we make our best Mystics vs. Lynx prediction. Photo by Jesse Johnson via Imagn Images.

My Mystics vs. Lynx prediction for tonight's tilt between the Minnesota Lynx (25-5) and the Washington Mystics (13-16) questions if the visitors can keep it close when they visit the team with the league's best record. Tipoff from Target Center in Minneapolis is at 7:30 p.m. ET (ION).

The Lynx will once again be without MVP favorite Napheesa Collier, but they are still 10-point betting favorites to beat the Mystics and boost their WNBA championship odds.

🔮 Mystics vs. Lynx prediction: WNBA expert picks

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Moneyline pick: Lynx ML (-450 via bet365)
Against the spread pick: Mystics +10 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Over/Under pick: Over 157 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Mystics vs. Lynx tonight?

Moneyline pick: Lynx will win (-450)

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Despite missing Collier, I expect Minnesota to take care of business at home. The Lynx only have lost one regular-season game at home this year, underscoring the importance of securing the No. 1 seed.

Washington, meanwhile, signaled it knows it likely is out of playoff contention after trading away Brittney Sykes earlier this week.

💰 Mystics vs. Lynx prediction & WNBA best bet

Mystics vs. Lynx Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: Aug. 8
Pictured: The Minnesota Lynx once again will be without forward Napheesa Collier, which plays into our Mystics vs. Lynx prediction. Photo by Candice Ward / Imagn Images.

🪄 Mystics +10 ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via FanDuel ($10 to win $9.09)

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I’m willing to back Washington against the best team in the WNBA at +10 or better. This is entirely a numbers play, as the market is treating the Lynx similarly without their best player.

Earlier this week, I suggested backing Minnesota as a road underdog against Seattle. The Lynx were expected to play inspired in their first game without Collier, but that wasn’t the case. They needed a rally in the second half, posting a 12-point advantage after the break, to win the game.

Consider me skeptical that Minnesota has it all figured out after one game. The Lynx were 12-point favorites when they hosted the Mystics on July 3, suggesting the best sportsbooks might have more faith in the current version of Minnesota than I do.

According to WNBA’s on-off splits, Minnesota has a plus-18 net rating with Collier on the court this year compared to a +5.4 mark without her. That’s the difference between a dominant team you trust to cover a double-digit spread and one you wouldn't.

I’ll take the points.

👀 Best player prop for Mystics vs. Lynx

Mystics vs. Lynx Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: Aug. 8
Pictured: Forward Alanna Smith should pick up the slack Friday for the Minnesota Lynx with Napheesa Collier out. Photo by Candice Ward, Imagn Images.

⬆️ Alanna Smith Over 9.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -115 via bet365 ($10 to win $8.70)


Alanna Smith underperformed in her first game without Collier, but the usage was there for the 6-foot-4 forward. Smith went 2-for-10 for six points in 23 minutes against Seattle.

Assuming Smith gets that many field goal attempts again, I like her to reach double figures. She’s scored 10-plus points in four of her past seven outings.

🏀 Mystics vs. Lynx odds today  

Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.

Mystics vs. Lynx odds analysis

As of early Tuesday morning we have a little insight on how things are shaping up according to the WNBA odds.

Minnesota opened as a 10.5-point home betting favorite, however, you can find them as short as -9.5 at some of our best sports betting apps. That's despite 73% of the tickets being written for them to cover.

The total opened at 156.5, and has bumped up just a smidgen, with most lines coming between 157-158 as the bulk of the bets (58%) have been on the Over. 

❓ WNBA betting FAQs

How do WNBA betting odds work?

WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).

What does betting against the spread mean?

Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.

What is moneyline betting?

Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.

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