Mystics vs. Aces Prediction & A'ja Wilson Prop Bet: Tonight's WNBA Odds and Expert Picks

The Washington Mystics bring a winning record into tonight's clash with the Las Vegas Aces, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET (ION) from Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, Nev. Despite the Mystics’ strong start, our Mystics vs. Aces prediction expects A’ja Wilson and Co. to strengthen their WNBA championship odds.

Read to the bottom to see the best player prop bet from our best sports betting apps for A'ja Wilson!

💰 Mystics vs. Aces expert picks

🔎 Our NEW player props odds tool can help you find the best WNBA odds across legal sportsbooks in your area!

✅ Against the spread pick: Aces -12.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
✅ Moneyline pick: Aces (-900 via DraftKings) ⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 164 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🏀 Mystics vs. Aces prediction & WNBA best bet

🎯 Score prediction: Aces 93, Mystics 78

Technically, the Mystics are among the top teams early in the WNBA season, but when you dig a little deeper, their 2-1 record is misleading. Washington is just +2.3 in its average point differential, and those two wins have come against the Atlanta Dream and Connecticut Sun - Atlanta was 15-25 last season, and Connecticut is in a rebuild this year.

Really exposing how bad the Mystics might be this season is the fact they handed the expansion Golden State Valkyries their first win of the season on Wednesday. While it was just a two-point loss, the Valkyries are supposed to be the worst team in the league, and Washington let two players who averaged fewer than six points per game last season - Kayla Thornton and Veronica Burton - combine for 40 points.

So, how is this team going to stop a lineup that consists of the reigning MVP in Wilson and All-Star talents like Jewell Loyd, Jackie Young, and Chelsea Gray?

This game will likely turn out a lot like Vegas' 87-62 win over the Sun, a game in which Connecticut shot just 34.4% from the floor and 17.6% from three and couldn't stop the team that led the WNBA in points per game last year (86.4).

Even with Brittney Sykes lighting up the scoreboard early in the season for the Mystics, and first-round picks Kiki Iriafen and Sonia Citron looking impressive, Washington doesn't have the star power to keep up. To make matters worse, second-year big Aaliyah Edwards is still out with a back injury, and first-round pick Georgia Amoore is out for the season with an ACL injury.

Wilson is just an unstoppable force surrounded by teammates who would all be the best player in Washington's lineup. 

✅ Best bet: Aces -12.5 (-110 via DraftKings)

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👀 Star prop to watch: A'ja Wilson Over 38.5 points + rebounds

While Caitlin Clark leads the WNBA MVP odds, she's not yet the best player in the league. That honor still belongs to Wilson, who is off to a hot start as she looks to win her fourth MVP award in five years. The six-time All-Star has been an unstoppable force for the Aces for years and has shown no signs of slowing down, averaging 26.5 points and 13 rebounds through two games.

She should only add to those numbers against a Washington team that doesn't have anybody capable of stopping her in the paint. The Mystics are in the back half of the league in defensive rating (105.1) and one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the W.

✅ Best odds: -125 via FanDuel (bet $10 to win $8 profit)  

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📈 Mystics vs. Aces odds

Live updated odds from our best sports betting sites.

🪧 Mystics vs. Aces opening odds

Opening odds via DraftKings.

• Spread: Mystics +12.5 (-110) | Aces -12.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Mystics +600 | Aces -900
• Over/Under: Over 164 (-110) | Under 164 (-110)

📊 Mystics vs. Aces odds analysis

We've seen some notable movement in the point spread since things opened up, and since we made our picks. 

The line has moved from the Aces being a 12.5-point favorite to a 14.5-point favorite around the industry. Washington is seeing a slight majority (53%) of the wagers on the spread. You probably aren't considering wagering on such a lopsided moneyline anyway, but it's moved from -900 to an even more unreasonable -1200. 

The total has also moved, with most of the action (66%) coming in on the Over. That's resulted in the line shifting from a 164 opener to 167.5 as of Friday morning.

💵 Best WNBA betting sites

Want to bet on the WNBA? Here are our best sportsbooks and our best sportsbook promos for today's WNBA games.

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