🏀 Liberty vs. Fever Prediction: WNBA Picks for Saturday, July 18
My Liberty vs. Fever prediction is prepared to back the more rested team in this battle between WNBA championship odds contenders.
New York, which is a 1.5-point favorite, hasn't played since last weekend. Indiana, meanwhile, is playing on the second night of a back-to-back following last night's thrilling win over the Seattle Storm.
Tipoff for tonight's showdown is set for 8 p.m. ET on Saturday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on CBS.
🏀 Liberty vs. Fever prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty ML (-120 via Caesars) | 1.2u → 1u | The Liberty have had five days off, while the Fever are playing a back-to-back. |
| Liberty 1H spread -0.5 (-105 via Caesars) | 0.5u → 0.47u | Indiana was down six in the first half against Phoenix the last time it played a back-to-back. |
| Breanna Stewart 20-plus points (-135 via FanDuel) | 1.35u → 1u | Breanna Stewart has scored 20-plus points in five of her past seven games, averaging 23.4 points. |
Total wagered: 3.05 units | Max profit: 2.47 units
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🏆 Who will win Liberty vs. Fever?
I predict the Liberty will win by five against the Fever in a matchup that could have playoff seeding implications. Indiana is sixth in the WNBA, holding a 1.5-game lead over No. 7 New York. However, the Liberty have started to get healthier and could hit another gear during the back half of the regular season. After all, they began as the preseason title favorites.
Score prediction: Liberty 92, Fever 87
💰 Liberty vs. Fever prediction & best bet
Liberty ML (-120)
Given that the market price is as high as -140, Caesars' -120 value to support the Liberty stands out from a value perspective. I'd back the road team at -135 or better.
With Indiana playing the second night of a back-to-back, I wouldn't be surprised if Caitlin Clark is rested, as the team has yet to push her through her return from injury.
More importantly, the Liberty haven't played since Sunday because Thursday's contest was postponed. Since 2024, they are 11-4 ATS when playing with four-plus days of rest.
🔥 Best Liberty vs. Fever player prop bet
Breanna Stewart 20-plus points (-135)
With Breanna Stewart's scoring line as high as 21.5 in the market, I like paying the -135 vig in FanDuel's alternate market for her to finish with 20-plus points on Saturday.
For one, Stewart has scored 20-plus points on 11 different occasions this season. Of those 11 instances, eight have been in victories.
In addition, she's rounding into form right now. Stewart has scored at least 20 points in five of her past seven contests, averaging 23.4 points over that span. This is a good matchup for that to continue, as Indiana is last in the league in paint defense. The Fever also give up the most free throws in the league.
🚀 Liberty vs. Fever same-game parlay
I'm all aboard the Liberty bandwagon for tonight's matchup. I'm projecting that they will be in complete control as the more rested side, especially if the Fever end up playing without Clark. Given that all three legs are correlated to a New York victory, FanDuel offers just +271 odds on this parlay. And it's a game script that makes a lot of sense on paper.
💵 Liberty vs. Fever SGP picks
- Liberty ML (-130)
- Breanna Stewart 20-plus points (-135)
- Liberty 1H spread -0.5 (-111)
Best odds: +271 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.27u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 63-89-1 | +2.75 units ✅ | 2.6% ✅ |
| Player props | 23-17 | +4.72 units ✅ | 12% ✅ |
| Parlays | 3-35 | -2.29 units ❌ | -60.2% ❌ |
📊 Live Liberty vs. Fever odds
📺 How to watch Liberty vs. Fever
- Date: Saturday, July 18
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis]
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Paramount+
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