⚽ Spain vs. Argentina Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (July 19)
The biggest game on the soccer calendar is finally here, as Spain takes on Argentina in the 2026 World Cup final on Sunday at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.
Argentina showed tremendous character to get to this point, but my Spain vs. Argentina prediction explains why La Roja will dethrone La Albiceleste to become world champion again. Spain is the narrow +125 favorite to beat +260 Argentina in FIFA's showpiece event.
As part of our World Cup best bets, I also explain why Mikel Oyarzabal will shine in Sunday's game (3 p.m. ET on FOX, FOX One, Telemundo) and lead Spain to a second World Cup title.
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⚽ Spain vs. Argentina predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets
See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Spain to lift trophy | -150 via DraftKings | 1.25u -> 0.83u |
| Over 2.5 goals | +120 via bet365 | 0.5u -> 0.6u |
| Both teams to score: Yes | -111 via bet365 | 1.5u -> 1.35u |
| Mikel Oyarzabal anytime goal | +165 via FanDuel | 0.75u -> 1.24u |
⚽ Who will win Spain vs. Argentina?
Argentina's resilience can't be ignored. From comeback wins against Egypt and England to surviving a scare against World Cup debutant Cape Verde, Argentina has persevered every time it was on the brink of disaster.
But the South American nation is going to run out of steam against the World Cup's most complete team, Spain.
A day before Argentina had to claw its way past England in the semifinals, Spain cruised by fellow World Cup favorite France, with its technical masterclass in midfield making the difference in a comfortable 2-0 win. We're expecting a similar display against Argentina, with La Roja controlling possession on the way to ending Argentina's memorable World Cup.
Score prediction: Spain 2, Argentina 1
💵 My best bet: Spain to lift trophy (-150)
Rodri's return to form has helped Spain evolve into a powerhouse on all fronts at the 2026 World Cup.
Along with setting the record for most successful passes completed at a World Cup within Spain's possession-heavy system, the Manchester City defensive midfielder is among the leaders at the 2026 World Cup for regaining possession for his team.
His presence in the middle of the park and ability to neutralize Argentina's midfield, alongside Fabian Ruiz, will be crucial in helping Spain win the World Cup. A big performance on Sunday could also lead to Rodri winning the Golden Ball award as the World Cup's best player.
🦶 Who will score in Spain vs. Argentina?
Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.
Mikel Oyarzabal, F, Spain (+165)
Lamine Yamal is the face of Spanish soccer, but the smart move on the anytime goalscorer market is to target Mikel Oyarzabal. While Yamal's potential is undeniable, the Barcelona winger has only registered one goal contribution in six games at the World Cup.
Meanwhile, Oyarzabal has quietly gone about his business to put himself in contention for the Golden Boot with five goals. The Real Sociedad striker, who has 17 goals in his last 19 international appearances, has a reputation as a big-game performer, having scored in the Euro 2024 final against England and multiple Copa del Rey finals for his club.
If there's a penalty, then it's a near certainty that Oyarzabal is going to score. The 29-year-old, whose goals in the Copa del Rey finals were both from the spot, has never missed a penalty during his senior career with La Roja.
Best Spain vs. Argentina goal-scorer pick: Mikel Oyarzabal (+165 via FanDuel)
🥅 Will both teams score in Spain vs. Argentina?
Although Spain has been the most dominant defensive team at the 2026 World Cup, there's just too much firepower to stop Argentina from finding the back of the net.
Assuming Spain opens the scoring, Argentina is more than likely going to go into desperation mode and relentlessly push up the field in search of an equalizer. Argentina has shown a tendency to score when its back is up against the wall, but its approach is a risky one that will ultimately end with Spain emerging victorious.
Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: Yes (-111 via bet365)
💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)
Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.
📊 Spain vs. Argentina odds
We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.
📺 How to watch Spain vs. Argentina
- Date: Sunday, July 19
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium (New Jersey)
- TV: FOX, FOX One, Telemundo
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