US Open Odds: Sinner, Sabalenka the Favorites; Swiatek Ascends After Wimbledon Triumph
As they were at Wimbledon, Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka are the US Open odds favorites across our best sports betting sites with the last major of the season in sight.
Sinner won at the All England Club, beating Carlos Alcaraz for the first time in five matches. Meanwhile, Iga Swiatek's US Open odds improved significantly after winning Wimbledon, moving from +900 to +300 at FanDuel.
Along with an AI prediction for both sides of the draw, here are the US Open odds.
π Men's US Open tennis odds 2025
Odds via FanDuel, one of our best sports betting apps.
| Name | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | +100 | 50% | $10 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | +130 | 43.48% | $13 |
| Novak Djokovic | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Jack Draper | +1300 | 7.14% | $130 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +2300 | 4.17% | $230 |
| Taylor Fritz | +2700 | 3.57% | $270 |
| Ben Shelton | +2900 | 3.33% | $290 |
| Joao Fonseca | +2900 | 3.33% | $290 |
| Frances Tiafoe | +4200 | 2.33% | $420 |
π€ 2025 US Open men's AI prediction: Jannik Sinner
We asked ChatGPT, a large language model chatbot from OpenAI, for its best prediction to win the US Open. Please note that ChatGPT is not an experienced bettor but can provide additional information and insights into the tournament and betting markets. This is for entertainment purposes only.
π Why Sinner?
π₯ Form & confidence
- Sinner enters the 2025 US Open as the defending champion and has won two Grand Slam titles already this season - the Australian Open and Wimbledon
- Heβs 3-1 in Slam finals, and all of them have come in the past 12 months. That mental edge at majors is rare and signals a player who has fully arrived at the elite level
- He handled Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon in straight sets and defeated Carlos Alcaraz in their latest Grand Slam encounter - showing no fear, only precision
πͺ Hard-court dominance
- Flushing Meadows is a fast hard-court surface - ideal for Sinner's flatter groundstrokes and early ball-striking
- His serve has developed into a top-tier weapon - routinely hitting 130+ mph with clutch accuracy
- His baseline game is built for US Open conditions: controlled aggression, surgical depth, and elite lateral movement
π§ Mental evolution
- Early in his career, Sinner had the tools but lacked the belief - often fading in five-setters
- That narrative has flipped. His five-set win over Medvedev in Australia and composed Wimbledon performance proves heβs mastered the psychological side of the game
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π Women's US Open odds 2025
| Name | FanDuel | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | +220 | 31.25% | $25 |
| Iga Swiatek | +300 | 25% | $30 |
| Coco Gauff | +470 | 17.54% | $47 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +850 | 10.53% | $85 |
| Elena Rybakina | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Madison Keys | +1300 | 7.14% | $130 |
| Amanda Anisimova | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
| Zheng Qinwen | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Jessica Pegula | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Naomi Osaka | +2600 | 3.70% | $260 |
π€ 2025 US Open women's AI prediction: Aryna Sabalenka
π Why Sabalenka?
Elite form, proven at Flushing Meadows
- Sabalenka is the defending US Open champion (2024) and a finalist in two Grand Slams in 2025: the Australian Open (loss to Keys) and French Open (loss to Coco Gauff)
- Despite falling short in those finals, she has been consistently in contention at majors, more than any other player this year
- Her hard-court game is unmatched right now: she leads the WTA Tour in aces, first-serve points won, and break point saves on hard courts
𧱠Built for New York
- The fast surface at Flushing Meadows rewards power, first-strike tennis, and elite serving - all Sabalenka specialties
- Her improved emotional composure has turned her from a volatile threat into a dominant force who can grind through tough three-set battles
πΊπΈ US Open betting odds history
Odds prior to the start of Round 1.
| Year | Men's winner (odds) | Women's winner (odds) |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Jannik Sinner | Aryna Sabalenka |
| 2023 | Novak Djokovic (+110) | Coco Gauff (+700) |
| 2022 | Carlos Alcaraz (+550) | Iga Swiatek (+425) |
| 2021 | Daniil Medvedev (+400) | Emma Raducanu (+15000) |
| 2020 | Dominic Thiem (+1150) | Naomi Osaka (+500) |
| 2019 | Rafael Nadal (+290) | Bianca Andreescu (+1325) |
| 2018 | Novak Djokovic (+230) | Naomi Osaka (+6600) |
| 2017 | Rafael Nadal (+375) | Sloane Stephens (+4000) |
| 2016 | Stansilas Wawrinka (+3300) | Angelique Kerber (+750) |
| 2015 | Novak Djokovic (+110) | Flavia Pennetta (+15000) |
| 2014 | Marin Cilic (+7500) | Serena Williams (+150) |
πΎ US Open 2025 info
ποΈ Sun, 24 Aug 2025 β Sun, 7 Sept 2025
π Flushing Meadows (New York)
π Sunday, Sept. 7 (Exact time TBD)
π Favorites; Jannik Sinner, Aryna Sabalenka
US Open FAQs
Who are the 2025 US Open favorites?
Jannik Sinner and Aryna Sabalenka are the men's and women's 2025 US Open favorites. Sinner has +100 odds while Sabalenka is pegged at +220, representing 50% and 31.25% win probabilities, respectively.
Who won the US Open last year?
Jannik Sinner won the last year's US Open on the men's side, and Aryna Sabalenka was the women's champion. Both are first-time winners.
When does the US Open start?
The first round of the 2025 US Open starts on Aug. 24, 2025
When will the US Open be decided?
The 2025 US Open 2025 runs from Aug. 26 through Sept. 7.
Where will the US Open be played?
The US Open will be played at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Queens, N.Y.
Tennis betting odds pages
| Australian Open Odds | Wimbledon Odds |
| French Open Odds | US Open Odds |
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