US Open Odds & Favorites: Sinner, Swiatek the Betting Favorites; Sabalenka, Alcaraz Closest
We're into the business end of the season's final major, and Jannik Sinner and Iga Swiatek remain the US Open odds betting favorites.
However, Carlos Alcaraz and Aryna Sabalenka are matching them step for step. Before the tournament commenced, ChatGPT chimed in with its US Open AI predictions. The US Open will continue through next weekend's men's and women's finals.
🏆 Men's US Open odds 2025
Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday, Aug. 31
| Name | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | -120 | 54.55% | $8.33 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | +155 | 37.04% | $15.50 |
| Novak Djokovic | +1600 | 5.26% | $160 |
| Taylor Fritz | +2700 | 3.57% | $270 |
| Alexander Bublik | +4500 | 2.17% | $450 |
| Alex de Minaur | +5500 | 1.79% | $550 |
| Andrey Rublev | +6000 | 1.64% | $600 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Tomas Machac | +12500 | 0.79% | $1,250 |
👊 Who’s the betting favorite to win men's US Open?
🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner (-120)
Sinner is steamrolling most opponents, excluding the dynamic Spaniard he earned the better of at Wimbledon. Sinner and Alcaraz have won the last seven majors, with the Italian taking three of the previous four.
The only major he didn't win during that stretch is the French Open, which Alcaraz took after facing a two-set deficit.
Sinner has won four of seven Grand Slams since the start of 2024, with his worst finish a quarterfinals defeat at Wimbledon last year. Sinner's -120 betting odds to win the US Open reflect his dominance.
Despite his short odds across our best sports betting apps, he's the best bet to win his second straight at Flushing Meadows.
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🏆 Women's US Open odds 2025
| Name | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | +230 | 30.30% | $23 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | +230 | 30.30% | $23 |
| Elena Rybakina | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
| Coco Gauff | +950 | 9.52% | $95 |
| Jessica Pegula | +1300 | 7.14% | $130 |
| Naomi Osaka | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Amanda Anisimova | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Karolina Muchova | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Marketa Vondrousova | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
👊 Who’s the betting favorite to win women's US Open?
🇵🇱 Iga Swiatek (+230)
Swiatek has been in sizzling form since winning Wimbledon. Her betting odds have shortened from +900 to +230 since July in London. The world No. 2 won the Cincinnati Open, beating Jasmine Paolini in straight sets.
She has poured her time into becoming a more versatile player, ensuring she isn't purely regarded as a clay-court specialist. The Pole won the US Open in 2022 but was ousted in last year's quarterfinals.
With her confidence on hard courts soaring, Swiatek leapfrogged Sabalenka to become the tournament favorite. She has every chance of winning it, too, with her main competition the aforementioned Sabalenka, along with a few other formidable favorites, most of whom specialize on the fast surface of Flushing Meadows.
🇺🇸 US Open betting odds history
Odds prior to the start of Round 1.
| Year | Men's winner (odds) | Women's winner (odds) |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TBD | TBD |
| 2024 | Jannik Sinner (+350) | Aryna Sabalenka (+225) |
| 2023 | Novak Djokovic (+110) | Coco Gauff (+700) |
| 2022 | Carlos Alcaraz (+550) | Iga Swiatek (+425) |
| 2021 | Daniil Medvedev (+400) | Emma Raducanu (+15000) |
| 2020 | Dominic Thiem (+1150) | Naomi Osaka (+500) |
| 2019 | Rafael Nadal (+290) | Bianca Andreescu (+1325) |
| 2018 | Novak Djokovic (+230) | Naomi Osaka (+6600) |
| 2017 | Rafael Nadal (+375) | Sloane Stephens (+4000) |
| 2016 | Stanislas Wawrinka (+3300) | Angelique Kerber (+750) |
| 2015 | Novak Djokovic (+110) | Flavia Pennetta (+15000) |
| 2014 | Marin Cilic (+7500) | Serena Williams (+150) |
🎾 US Open 2025 info
🗓️ Sunday through Sept. 7, 2025
📍 Flushing Meadows (New York)
🏆 Sunday, Sept. 7 (Exact time TBD)
📈 Favorites: Jannik Sinner, Aryna Sabalenka
❓ US Open FAQs
Who are the 2025 US Open favorites?
Jannik Sinner and Iga Swiatek are the men's and women's 2025 US Open favorites. Sinner has -120 odds, while Swiatek is pegged at +230, representing 54.55% and 30.30% win probabilities, respectively.
Who won the US Open last year?
Jannik Sinner won the last year's US Open on the men's side, and Aryna Sabalenka was the women's champion. Both were first-time winners.
When does the US Open start?
The first round of the 2025 US Open started on Aug. 24, 2025.
When will the US Open be decided?
The 2025 US Open runs from Aug. 26 through Sept. 7.
Where will the US Open be played?
The US Open will be played at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center in Queens, N.Y.
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