2025 NASCAR Predictions at Dover: Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 Odds, Prop Bets & Expert Picks

After back-to-back road course races – and back-to-back wins for Shane Van Gisbergen – the NASCAR Cup Series returns to an oval for the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Dover Motor Speedway, which begins Sunday at 2 p.m. ET on TNT.

Let's dive into our NASCAR predictions at Dover as we dish out our expert picks and predictions for this weekend's race at the Monster Mile.

📊 2025 NASCAR odds & favorites at Dover

Here are the latest Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 odds and favorites at Dover via BetMGM as of Friday.

🥇 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 betting favorites 🥇

• Denny Hamlin, +450 ($10 to win $45)
• Kyle Larson, +500 ($10 to win $50)
• Ryan Blaney, +650 ($10 to win $65)
• William Byron, +750 ($10 to win $75)
• Chase Elliott, +1000 ($10 to win $100)
• Ross Chastain, +1200 ($10 to win $120)
• Christopher Bell, +1200 ($10 to win $120)
• Alex Bowman, +2000 ($10 to win $200)
• Chase Briscoe, +2000 ($10 to win $200)
• Tyler Reddick, +2000 ($10 to win $200)
• Ty Gibbs, +2200 ($10 to win $220)
• Chris Buescher, +2500 ($10 to win $250)
• Joey Logano, +2500 ($10 to win $250)
• Kyle Busch, +3000 ($10 to win $300)
• Carson Hocevar, +3000 ($10 to win $300)

Claim our BetMGM bonus code, SBRBONUS, to receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets by placing a wager of any amount on the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 or any other market!

---

🏁 NASCAR predictions, expert picks & best bets at Dover

Dover Motor Speedway is one of two high-banked short tracks on the schedule. While it’s twice as long as its counterpart, Bristol, it generally races quite similarly.

Last year, the fastest driver by average green flag speed in the spring Bristol race was also the fastest driver in the metric at Dover. The second-best driver in the metric at Bristol went on to rank third at Dover. The two drivers finished inside the top three in both events.

This year is a bit different for two reasons. One, last year’s spring Bristol race took place just two weeks before the Dover race - this year’s events are separated by multiple months. Two, this year’s Dover race will feature a brand new tire compound intended to lay more rubber down on Dover’s smooth surface in an attempt to improve competition on long runs.

Still, this year’s Bristol results will prove helpful in handicapping the 2025 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400, even if the events aren’t as tightly correlated as they were last season. Kyle Larson led a whopping 411 of 500 laps at Bristol this April, and I like his chances to finish the job at the Monster Mile.

🏆 Pick to win Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400: Kyle Larson (+550) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +550 via FanDuel ($10 pays $55)
🔢 Implied probability: 15.38%

---

It’s rare that I’ll label a +550 favorite as a five-star, slam-dunk outright option for a Cup Series race, but Larson is the rare exception this weekend. He dominated at Bristol in the spring after starting from third place. He led 82.2% of the race, won both stages, and took the checkered flag all while pacing the field in average green-flag speed.

Larson is no stranger to Victory Lane at Dover. While he has just a single win here in the Cup Series, which came with Chip Ganassi Racing back in 2019, he also won the 2017 Xfinity Series race here. Further, he owns the best average finish of all active drivers at this track with an 8.2. With 938 laps led, you’d think he would have more than one win at this track.

A mix of bad luck, shaky Ganassi equipment, and close calls has left Larson with just one Dover win to his name at this point. He has four runner-up finishes here and six top-three results over just 16 starts. Two of those runner-ups have come in his four races at this track with Hendrick Motorsports.

Lock him in to finally find Victory Lane here in the No. 5 car for a solid $55 return on a $10 wager.

💎 Best value bet to win Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400: Josh Berry (+5500) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +5500 via DraftKings ($10 pays $550)
🔢 Implied probability: 1.79%

---

After getting out to a scorching start to the 2025 season, Josh Berry has cooled off considerably – or so it appears. The veteran short track driver has been out of his element on road courses, hasn’t posted a top-10 result since Kansas, and hasn’t led a lap since Texas. Both of those races were back in May.

But the Cup Series hasn’t run a points-paying race on a short track since April, so Berry’s lack of production shouldn’t be that shocking. When we last saw him on a short track, he ranked 14th by average green-flag speed at Bristol on his way to a solid but unspectacular 12th-place finish. I think he can blow that performance out of the water at Dover this weekend.

Like Larson, Berry has won at Dover in the Xfinity Series. But unlike Larson, he never finished worse than second at this track in the lower levels, scoring a pair of runner-ups in 2021 and 2023. His Cup Series numbers here aren’t great, but they’re not bad – he piloted the No. 48 to 10th for Hendrick Motorsports in 2023 and took the uncompetitive No. 4 for Stewart-Haas Racing to 14th last year.

With a $10 bet offering a $550 return for a driver we’ve already seen win once this year, there’s just too much value to leave him off your card.

🎯 Best long shot to win Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400: Justin Haley (+35000) ⭐

📊 Best odds: +35000 via DraftKings ($10 pays $3,500)
🔢 Implied probability: 0.28%

---

Desperate times call for desperate measures. This season could not be going worse for the Spire Motorsports No. 7 team and driver Justin Haley. As they struggle to fight for top 20s, his teammates, Carson Hocevar and Michael McDowell, have shown flashes of race-winning speed.

Haley won’t win this race on raw pace, but he could win it on strategy, and he should have a car capable of running near the front. Hocevar stole the show at Bristol with his third-place ranking in average green flag speed, but Haley wasn’t far behind in the metric, ranking ninth.

Haley needs a win to get in the playoffs – and maybe to keep his job. Since a $10 bet on him to win would yield a massive $3,500 payday, why not throw a dart on him to deliver?

💰 Best NASCAR prop bets & picks at Dover

Perhaps unsurprisingly, we’ll be discussing two of the undervalued drivers above to score top 10s in this weekend’s race at Dover. Josh Berry to score a top 10 should probably never get longer than +150 at a short track, especially Dover, but we’re able to lock that bet in for much longer odds at FanDuel.

🔥 Best prop bet for Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400: Josh Berry top 10 (+220) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +220 via FanDuel ($10 pays $22)
🔢 Implied probability: 31.25%

---

Let me repeat something from earlier: Berry never finished worse than second at Dover in the Xfinity Series. His average finish (1.7) over that three-race sample is simply absurd. He now has the best equipment of his Cup Series career and should easily contend for the win after a dismal stretch of recent runs dating back to May.

We’re getting Berry at a major discount due to his lack of recent success. Don’t look a gift horse in the mouth here: the veteran short track racer has a far better shot of scoring a top 10 at this track than the 31.3% his betting odds imply. A $10 bet would yield a $22 profit, so don’t leave Berry to score a top 10 off your betting card.

🚀 Best long-shot prop bet for Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400: Justin Haley top 10 (+1400) ⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: +1400 via FanDuel ($10 pays $140)
🔢 Implied probability: 6.67%

---

We’ve cashed plenty of quadruple-digit top-10 bets this season, and Haley could be the next driver to deliver for us this Sunday. Sure, his 2025 campaign has been nothing short of a disaster. That isn’t stopping most books from charging between +700 and +1000 for him to score a top 10 - far less generous than the +1400 we can click at FanDuel.

To be fair, Haley hasn’t done much here, either in the Xfinity Series or the Cup Series. His best result in Xfinity was a fourth-place finish in 2019; his best result in Cup was a P11 in 2022. But with him managing to score a top 10 at Bristol while flashing sufficiently competitive speed – and his Spire Motorsports looking feisty most weekends – we’re getting a great deal here.

📈 NASCAR trends & Dover Motor Speedway history

Here are a few Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 trends to consider before betting on Sunday's race at Dover Motor Speedway.

🏎️ Starting position doesn’t matter much. Since the NextGen era began in 2022, drivers starting outside the first four rows have found plenty of success. Last year, three of the cars in the top five started 15th or worse, with two even starting outside the top 20. Two years ago, Martin Truex Jr. won from 17th, edging out runner-up Ross Chastain, who started in 14th.

🏎️ Don't overlook Dennis the Menace. Denny Hamlin is one of the best drivers at Dover, and his results prove it. He has led at least one lap in the last four races here. He failed to lead a lap in the second leg of 2020’s Dover doubleheader, but he led the most laps and won the first race.

💡 How to bet on NASCAR at Dover

When handicapping races on NASCAR’s short tracks – especially NASCAR’s high-banked short tracks - there are a few crucial considerations to use in your betting strategy. Here are two notes that I try to remember when we come to tracks like Dover:

• Don’t sleep on the favorites. Hamlin and Larson are atop the odds board this weekend for very good reasons. The two drivers have won three of the last seven Dover races and five of the last six Bristol races.
• Focus on the correct comparators. While looking at results from other short tracks (namely the flat ones) can be tempting, those are much more noise than signal. Managing corners without banking demands very different skills than managing Dover’s 24-degree corners.

🏆 Past Dover Motor Speedway winners

Here is a look at the last 10 Dover Motor Speedway winners entering Sunday's race.

📺 How to watch the 2025 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Dover

📅 Race date: Sunday, July 20, 2025
🕒 Start time: 2 p.m. ET
📍 Track: Dover Motor Speedway (Dover, Del.)
📺 TV: TNT | Streaming: HBO Max

❓ NASCAR at Dover FAQs

Who is favored to win the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400?

Denny Hamlin is favored to win the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at odds of +450, which would yield a $45 profit on a $10 bet.

What are the odds for the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400?

Denny Hamlin (+450), Kyle Larson (+500) and Ryan Blaney (+650) are among the favorites for the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400.

What time is the 2025 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400?

The 2025 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 starts at 2 p.m. ET (TNT) on Sunday, July 20 in Dover.

How to watch the 2025 Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400

You can watch the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 on TNT or stream it via HBO Max.

Who won the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 last year?

Denny Hamlin won last year’s Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 with raceday odds of +700 after opening at +750.

💵 Best NASCAR betting sites

Want to bet on the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 400 at Dover Motor Speedway? Check out the best sports betting sites and best sportsbook promos for the race this weekend:

• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
• Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.