Iga Swiatek vs. Coco Gauff Prediction & Odds: 2024 French Open Women's Semifinal
In today's 2024 French Open women's semifinals, World No. 1 Iga Swiatek continues the question for her fourth French Open title in five years when she squares off with No. 3 seed Coco Gauff, as we offer our best Swiatek vs. Gauff prediction with odds from our best sports betting sites.
World No. 1 Iga Swiatek carries an impressive record of 4-1 in her last five Grand Slam semifinals as she gears up for the 2024 French Open women's semifinals. The showdown with Coco Gauff is scheduled for Thursday at 9 a.m. ET on Court Philippe-Chatrier at Roland-Garros in Paris.
French Open odds heavily favor Swiatek, with -700 odds implying an 87.50% chance of victory. She arrives on a 19-match winning streak at Roland-Garros and an equally formidable 17-match clay-court winning streak.
Gauff continues to make waves, making a third consecutive Grand Slam semifinal appearance following her 2023 US Open triumph and a semifinal exit at this year's Australian Open. She's the youngest player since Maria Sharapova in 2006-07 to reach three or more consecutive major semifinals.
It's a rematch of the 2022 French Open final, where Swiatek claimed victory in straight sets with a score of 6-1, 6-3. They're the first players to meet in the quarterfinals or later for three or more consecutive years at the same Grand Slam event since Serena Williams and Lindsay Davenport faced off at four consecutive US Opens from 1999-2002.
Here are our best Swiatek vs. Gauff predictions for the 2024 French Open women's semifinal (odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Swiatek vs. Gauff odds
(Odds via DraftKings as of Tuesday at 9 p.m. ET)
| Market | Swiatek | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -700 | +500 |
| Spread | -5.5 (-150) | +5.5 (+120) |
| Over/Under | Over 18.5 (-120) | Under 18.5 (+100) |
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Swiatek vs. Gauff prediction
Under 18.5 games ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +100 via BetMGM
While Rafael Nadal is known as the “King of Clay” for his 14 French Open titles, Swiatek may be heralded as the more dominant clay-court player by the end of her career.
Her 33-2 career record only trails Chris Evert’s 34-1 record as the best in the Open era at the French Open by a woman through their first 35 matches, per OptaAce. And Live Tennis shared on X that Swiatek is the first player to lose two or fewer games in the fourth round and quarterfinal combined in a Grand Slam since 1989.
Since saving a match point in a three-set victory over Naomi Osaka, Swiatek has been downright dominant and owns the head-to-head rivalry with Gauff, going 10-1 with all wins coming in straight sets.
While Swiatek was dominating the No. 6 player in the world and reigning Wimbledon champion Marketa Vondrousova, Gauff showed some vulnerability in her quarterfinal match against Ons Jabeur, allowing Jabeur to win 17 of her 18 first-serve points and never getting a look at a break-point in the first set.
Swiatek’s victory over Vondrousova was the 40th of her career against a top-10 opponent, and we expect her to make similarly quick work of Gauff on her most comfortable playing surface.
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French Open semifinal best odds
DraftKings, BetMGM (+100)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 18.5 games (+100) | Under 18.5 games (-110) | Under 18.5 games (+100) | Under 18.5 games (-110) |
DraftKings and BetMGM are the only of our best sportsbooks offering plus-money odds to back Under 18.5 on the total number of games. For those that believe this match will last even fewer than 18 games, FanDuel is the only shop where one can bet on lower alternative total games lines, where Under 17.5 games is +130 and Under 15.5 games is +390.
The Under number of games is 24-17-3 in Swiatek’s 44 matches this season, while Gauff has covered the game spread in three of their last five head-to-head meetings. Gauff has lost both matches as an underdog this season, including her clay-court match in Rome against Swiatek.
Swiatek vs. Gauff H2H stats
| Swiatek | Stat | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches won | 1 |
| 10 | Wins in straight sets | 0 |
| 4 | Wins on clay surface | 0 |
| 21 | Sets won | 2 |
| 138 | Games won | 68 |
French Open semifinal match info
- When: Thursday, June 6 at 9 a.m. ET
- Where: Court Philippe-Chatrier (Paris)
- How to watch: NBC
- Favorite: Swiatek (-700 via DraftKings)
Swiatek-Gauff pick made Tuesday at 9:18 p.m. ET
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