Twins vs. Yankees Predictions, Odds & Best Bets: New York Slips Up in Series Finale

The Bronx Bombers have lived up to their nickname in this series with the Twins, but can Minnesota's starter silence the hosts' scorching-hot bats?
Twins vs. Yankees Predictions, Odds & Best Bets: Wednesday, Aug. 13
Pictured: Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan (41) throws a pitch as I make my Twins vs. Yankees predictions. Photo by Ken Blaze via Imagn Images.

New York has made quick work of Minnesota in the first two showdowns of this series, but my Twins vs. Yankees predictions expect the visitors to get one game back behind a superb starting performance.

The best MLB betting sites list the Yankees as -130 betting favorites, with a total set at O/U 8.5 runs. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video) from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, N.Y.

My Twins vs. Yankees best bets expect Minnesota starter Joe Ryan to shut down a scorching-hot New York offense but still fall short of his strikeout total.

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✅ Twins vs. Yankees prediction: Twins to win (+115 via Caesars)

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My Twins vs. Yankees prediction believes that Minnesota's starter is the perfect man to slow down the hosts' red-hot bats. Ryan has given up 10 earned runs across four career starts against the Yankees, posting a 2-2 record in those games. However, it's his success against individuals that leads me to believe he'll put on a pitching clinic tonight in the Bronx.

The Bronx Bombers have stepped into the box for 48 at-bats against the 29-year-old in their respective careers, managing just 12 hits. Here are Ryan's numbers against notable contributors in New York's lineup:

  • Cody Bellinger: 1-for-5 (.200, 2 Ks)
  • Paul Goldschmidt: 0-for-3 (.000, 1 K)
  • Aaron Judge: 2-for-9 (.222, 3 Ks)
  • Ryan McMahon: 2-for-8 (.250, 4 Ks)
  • Giancarlo Stanton: 0-for-3 (.000 2 Ks)
  • Anthony Volpe: 5-for-9 (.556, 2 Ks)

If Ryan - who has a track record of slowing down this slugger-heavy lineup - cannot silence the Yankees, opposing pitchers should be on high alert in the coming weeks. All of this being said, a Twins win would require Minnesota's offense giving Ryan some run support.

I'm willing to go out on a limb with my Twins vs. Yankees best bet and bank on Minnesota crossing the plate a couple of times. The visitors are listed at plus-money with all the best sports betting sites, but Caesars leads the pack with its +115 offering.

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💰 Best Twins vs. Yankees player prop

✅ Best Twins vs. Yankees player prop: Joe Ryan Under 6.5 strikeouts (+100 via BetMGM)

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I know what you're thinking. "Gabe, didn't you just spend four paragraphs gushing about Ryan?" Yes, I did. However, I'm fading his strikeout total with my Twins vs. Yankees player prop, as he hasn't punched out opposing batters at a punishing clip lately.

Ryan remains one of baseball's most underrated pitchers, boasting a 2.79 ERA this season, good for ninth in the majors. His strikeout numbers are also stellar, as his 146 are tied for the 16th-most. Yet, he hasn't stuffed the stat sheet as of late. Ryan's cleared this total at a 20% clip in his previous five starts and only once since the All-Star break.

Overall, Ryan has failed to reach seven strikeouts in 13 of his 23 starts (56.52%) this season. This tells us his odds of going Under 6.5 against the Yankees should be closer to -130, yet the best sports betting apps generously offer this play at even money. I'm expecting Ryan to still pitch well, just not via the punchout.

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