Twins vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Will New York’s Dominance of Minnesota Continue?
The Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees meet for the first time this season as they open a three-game series from Yankee Stadium, and my Twins vs. Yankees prediction will have you set for all the action. The game airs on MLB Network, with first pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York is a -175 moneyline betting favorite at our best sports betting sites. While I expect it to win this series opener, I'm also predicting a quiet day from one of its sluggers in my Twins vs. Yankees best bets.
- Twins vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees to win (-172 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best Twins vs. Yankees player props: Jazz Chisholm Under 0.5 hits (+155 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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✅ Twins vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees to win (-172 via FanDuel)
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Minnesota last won a season series against New York in 2023. Before that, you have to go back to 2001 to find a season the Twins ended with more head-to-head wins than the Yankees. Most recently, New York swept last season’s series 6-0, and its dominance in this rivalry is the reason for my Twins vs. Yankees prediction.
New York’s struggles since mid-June have been well-documented, as its 20-31 record over its previous 51 games is the worst in the American League. But Minnesota is only a game better in that span (20-29), which suggests New York has an excellent get-right spot in this series opener as my Twins vs. Yankees best bet.
Yankees righty Will Warren is one of just two of the team’s starting pitchers to record an out in the sixth inning since July 30. He is an underrated pitcher who had the same fWAR as Carlos Rodon after his last start. And his 4.09 xERA is better than his actual ERA, as he was heavily impacted by two starts of seven-plus earned runs allowed.
There has been nothing but support on the Yankees, who have been steamed up from -165 last night to as high as -185 at bet365. That makes FanDuel’s -172 odds a bargain in comparison, and is the only top sports betting site as of Monday morning with a price better than -175.
💰 Best Twins vs. Yankees player props
✅ Best Twins vs. Yankees player prop: Jazz Chisholm Under 0.5 hits (+155 via bet365)
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Left-handed and right-handed hitters have had the same number of at-bats against Twins righty Zebby Matthews this year, and lefties have a lower batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. With Yankees lefty Chisholm currently mired in a slump, there is value for him to again go hitless as my best Twins vs. Yankees player prop.
Chisholm enters this series opener with a single as his only hit in his last 17 at-bats. His .167 batting average in August is akin to his .151 average in April, when he never had a multi-hit game and mixed in a five-game hitless drought.
Matthews’ 2.38 FIP is the seventh-lowest of all qualified starting pitchers in the second half, and the fact that he did not allow a single barrel on three of his primary pitches in his last start suggests he has a great chance to neutralize Chisholm today.
I am headed to bet365 for this play, where a $10 winning wager would net $15.50 in profits compared to the $14 in profits through Caesars’ +140 odds.
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Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common.
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The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.
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