Twins vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Is Chris Paddack Back to His Best?

Six runs in the middle frames helped elevate Detroit over Minnesota in the series opener, and my Twins vs. Tigers prediction expects the hosts to remain in the win column today.

The Tigers are -142 betting favorites with the best sports betting sites, with a total set at O/U 8.5 runs. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (Twins.TV, FDSN Detroit) from Comerica Park in Detroit.

My Twins vs. Tigers best bets look to Chris Paddack to stay hot and earn a series win for the Tigers this evening.

• Twins vs. Tigers prediction: Tigers to win (-142 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Best Twins vs. Tigers player props: Chris Paddack Over 4.5 strikeouts (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

⚾ Twins vs. Tigers prediction & odds

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✅ Twins vs. Tigers prediction: Tigers to win (-142 via FanDuel)

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My Twins vs. Tigers prediction expects Detroit to capture the series with a second consecutive victory tonight. The Tigers should have an easy time teeing off Minnesota starter Zebby Matthews, who has surrendered 10 earned runs across his last three starts.

Meanwhile, A.J. Hinch hands the ball to a former Twins starter, Paddack, to face his old team in only his second appearance in his new stripes. Paddack has been sensational in his last two starts; he's thrown six innings of one-run baseball in each appearance, striking out 13 and walking nobody in the process.

Minnesota's coaches know Paddack better than anyone else around MLB. However, I'm not confident the Twins' lineup has enough talent following the trade deadline fire sale to capitalize on that information. I think a change of scenery is exactly what Paddack needed, and he'll continue to deal today.

I would usually be hesitant to hand out my Twins vs. Tigers best bet at four-star confidence when a pitcher has struggled as much as Paddack this season. However, I believe in his recent resurgence, so I'll play Detroit moneyline (-142 at the best sports betting apps) with high hopes for a turnaround.

💰 Best Twins vs. Tigers player props

✅ Best Twins vs. Tigers player prop: Chris Paddack Over 4.5 strikeouts (-112 via FanDuel)

I'm going back to the well for a second consecutive day with my Twins vs. Tigers player prop, banking on Detroit's starter to clear his strikeout total. While Casey Mize came up short for us in the series opener, I'm backing Paddack at three stars of confidence after his recent outings.

Paddack has gone Over this total in four of his last five starts. He now faces off against familiar foes, many of whom he called teammates during his 3 1/2 years with the Twins. I expect the starter to weaponize this familiarity and strike out a struggling Minnesota lineup (11.67 strikeouts per game over the last three) at a high clip.

FanDuel (-112) boasts the best value for this play, edging DraftKings at -115. These are the only two of the best sportsbooks that offer Paddack's total at O/U 4.5 strikeouts.

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❓MLB betting FAQs

How do betting odds work?

Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common. 

What is the run line in baseball?

The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.

What does moneyline mean in betting?

The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet - just pick the winner.

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