Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Woods Richardson Silences Boston

Neither the Red Sox nor the Twins are in top form at the moment, but we expect Minnesota's starter to be the difference-maker against Boston.

Gabe Henderson

Last Updated: July 28, 2025 1:50 PM EDT • 4 minute read

Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: Monday, July 28 — Pictured: Minnesota Twins starting pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson (24) delivers a pitch as we make our Red Sox vs. Twins prediction. Photo by Jesse Johnson via Imagn Images.

Minnesota took two of three against Boston earlier this season, and my Red Sox vs. Twins prediction expects the hosts to add to that tally in tonight's contest.

The best sports betting sites list Minnesota (-110) as a slight betting favorite over Boston (-104) in a tightly contested American League matchup. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET (NESN, Twins.TV) from Target Field in Minneapolis.

My Twins vs. Red Sox best bets look for the host's starting pitcher, Simeon Woods Richardson, to give them an edge in this series-opening intraleague showdown.

Red Sox vs. Twins prediction: Twins to win (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Best Red Sox vs. Twins player props: Simeon Woods Richardson Over 14.5 outs (-155 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

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✅ Red Sox vs. Twins prediction: Twins moneyline (-110 via BetMGM)

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My Red Sox vs. Twins prediction is a close one to call, and the lines at our best sports betting apps tell that story, too. Boston and Minnesota are 8-12 over their last 20 combined games, so it's safe to say neither team is in great form. Nevertheless, multiple key factors could swing momentum in one team's favor.

The Twins took two of three from the Red Sox during the teams' only meeting earlier this season. Boston has also been abysmal on the road, posting a 23-29 record as opposed to 34-21 at Fenway Park. These factors lead us to believe Minnesota will edge out a victory on the back of consecutive losses to the Nationals.

My Red Sox vs. Twins best bet favors the hosts because their starter, Woods Richardson, has dealt over the last month. The same cannot be said for Boston starter Richard Fitts, who has given up four or more earned runs twice in his last five. As such, I'll back the hosts at a standard vig price.

💰 Best Red Sox vs. Twins player props

✅ Best Red Sox vs. Twins player prop: Simeon Woods Richardson Over 14.5 outs (-155 via DraftKings)

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My best Red Sox vs. Twins player prop focuses on the aforementioned Woods Richardson. The Twins' starter is enjoying the best season of his young career. He's picked up three wins over his last five, allowing just five earned runs across those appearances.

The 24-year-old has recorded 15-plus outs in five of his past seven starts during this successful stretch. He's gone Over at a 50% clip overall this season, with Rocco Baldelli giving him a longer leash lately. Boston sits 13th in runs scored (4.44) and 29th in strikeouts per game (10.25) on the road. As such, Woods Richardson should be able to go deep again.

I'm opting to play his total outs prop (-155 at DraftKings) over his total strikeouts prop (-160 at BetMGM) for the value at the best sportsbooks. Nevertheless, both are solid bets for tonight's matchup in Minneapolis.

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Written by:
Gabe Henderson

Gabe Henderson is a sports betting writer from Houston, Texas. He graduated from Louisiana State University in 2022 with a bachelor's degree in Mass Communication. Gabe developed an interest in sports betting while in college due to its legalization in Louisiana. He turned his passion into a career shortly after, joining The Advocate/NOLA.com as a Sports Betting Content Coordinator, where he spent two years. Gabe wore many hats before graduating as he led FanSided's coverage of Chelsea FC as a Site Expert with "The Pride of London." He was also the Editor-in-Chief of the LSU Gumbo Yearbook for two years. Gabe became a part of the SportsbookReview.com team in late 2024. He brings with him an extensive knowledge of many sports, including — but not limited to — NFL, NCAA, MLB, NBA, soccer, and UFC.