Red Sox vs. Dodgers Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Saturday, August 1
The Red Sox and Dodgers square off on Saturday night after the Red Sox pulled off a 9-4 upset to start this weekend series. Boston has been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the past month, while the Dodgers remain a juggernaut as the No. 1 seed in the National League. Today's game pits Payton Tolle vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto.
My Red Sox vs. Dodgers prediction includes a run total, two player props, and an MLB SGP. Bet these MLB picks before tonight's first pitch at 9:10 p.m. ET from Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles), streaming on ESPN Unlimited and MLB.TV. The Dodgers are -171 betting favorites and look to avoid back-to-back losses with their ace on the mound.
⚾ Red Sox vs. Dodgers picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 (-110 via BetMGM) | 1.1u → 1u | Under 7.5 has won in 4 of last 6 combined starts by Tolle and Yamamoto. |
| Andy Pages Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105 via bet365) | 1.05u → 1u | Pages has a 4-game hit streak and has cashed Over 1.5 H+R+RBIs in 2 of the last 3 starts for the Dodgers. |
| Shohei Ohtani Over 0.5 Home Runs (+260 via DraftKings) | 0.5u → 1.3u | Ohtani has two home runs in his last three starts. Faces Tolle, who has allowed 3 home runs in his last 2 outings. |
Total wagered: 2.66 units | Max profit: 3.30 units
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🏆 Who will win Red Sox vs. Dodgers?
The Red Sox thrashed the Dodgers 9-4 on Friday night. Los Angeles gets revenge with their ace, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, on the mound tonight. Expect a lower-scoring affair, with the Dodgers covering the -1.5 run line at home with a 5-2 win.
Score prediction: Dodgers 5, Red Sox 2
💰 Red Sox vs. Dodgers prediction & best bet
Under 7.5 (-110)
The Red Sox and Dodgers have both been profitable on the run total unders in 2026. The Red Sox are 58-48-4, while the Dodgers are 59-52.
In four of their last six combined starts, Payton Tolle and Yamamoto have started games that have gone under 7.5 total runs. Now, following a 9-4 offensive burst that saw the Red Sox pull away late, 67 percent of public bets are on over 7.5 total runs.
This is a prime buy-low spot to fade lineups with two good pitchers on the bump. Head to BetMGM to bet under 7.5 total runs at -110 odds.
📡 SBR Edge: Dodger Stadium Unders
The run total under has cashed in five of the Dodgers' last six home games played.
🔥 Best Red Sox vs. Dodgers player prop bet
Andy Pages Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Andy Pages is the second-leading hitter in the Dodgers' lineup in 2026. He's logged a hit in four straight starts, while cashing Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs in two of his last three outings.
Now, Pages faces Tolle, who has allowed 13 hits and six earned runs across his last two starts for the Red Sox. Pages ranks 75th in xBA (.268) and 77th in launch angle sweet spot (36.9) this year.
Head to bet365 for the best line on Pages Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs at -105 odds.
💣 Red Sox vs. Dodgers home run prediction
Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run (+260)
I'm rolling out a chalk play for a home run prop on Shohei Ohtani. He's mashed two dingers in his last three starts for the Dodgers.
Tolle has given up three home runs across his last two starts for the Red Sox. He's rated 55th in barrel rate (7.1), which bodes well for a power hitter like Ohtani.
Ohtani registers in the 96th percentile or higher in avg exit velo (93.8), barrel rate (16.9) and hard-hit percentage (54.0) in 2026. He remains a superstar and should be targeted in the home run player prop market tonight.
Bet on Shohei Ohtani's home run prop on DraftKings, which has the best available odds at +260 odds.
🚀 Red Sox vs. Dodgers same-game parlay
Andy Pages and Masatake Yoshida are two of the hottest hitters in their respective lineups entering Saturday's game. Pages has a four-game hit streak, while Yoshida has five hits across his last five appearances for the Red Sox. Get +125 odds on this hit parlay on FanDuel.
💵 Red Sox vs. Dodgers SGP picks
- Andy Pages Over 0.5 Hits (-210)
- Masataka Yoshida 0.5 Hits (-190)
Best odds: +125 via FanDuel (1u -> 1.25u)
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 31.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-68-3 | 20.10 units ❌ | -23.5% ❌ |
| Game picks | 8-14-2 | -8.03 units ❌ | -32.12% ❌ |
| Player props | 13-38-1 | -6.78 units ❌ | -19.5% ❌ |
| Parlays | 8-16 | -5.30 units ❌ | -26.6% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Red Sox vs. Dodgers: MLB strategy
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
We're deploying 3.66 units on four wagers for tonight's interconference tilt between two of the league's most historic franchises. 1.1 units staked on under 7.5 total runs, then 1.05 units dropped on Andy Pages to go Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs.
I'm scaling up to a 0.5 unit on Ohtani to record a home run at +260 odds. Then, 1 final unit on a hit parlay at +125 odds featuring Andy Pages and Masataka Yoshida.
📊 Live Red Sox vs. Dodgers odds
The Dodgers have moved down from -177 to -171 betting favorites. The run total has also slid down from 8.0 to 7.5.
Public bettors feature 86 percent of action on the Dodgers moneyline tonight. This includes 68 percent of run line wagers at -1.5. 52 percent of total bets are on under 7.5 total runs.
📈 Red Sox vs. Dodgers betting trends
| Red Sox | Statistic | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| 57-51 | W-L record | 69-40 |
| 52-56 | Run line record | 49-60 |
| 46-58-4 | O/U record | 50-59 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 3.54 | Team ERA | 3.58 |
| .244 | Team batting avg. | .261 |
| .709 | OPS | .774 |
🚑 Red Sox vs. Dodgers injuries
📺 How to watch Red Sox vs. Dodgers
- Date: Saturday, August 1
- First pitch: 9:10 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles, Calif.)
- Streaming: ESPN Unlimited, MLB.TV
- Red Sox starter: Payton Tolle (6-6, 3.32 ERA)
- Dodgers starter: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (11-6, 2.72 ERA)
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