Rays vs. Yankees Prediction Today: Best Bets & Odds for American League East Contest
New York has taken two of three from Tampa Bay in the series thus far, but my Rays vs. Yankees prediction expects the visitors to even up the four-game set this afternoon.
The Rays are -112 betting favorites at our best sports betting sites, with a total of O/U 8.5 runs. First pitch from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, N.Y., is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (FDSN Sun, YES).
My Rays vs. Yankees best bets feature a hot hand in Tampa Bay's lineup, someone who has a solid track record against New York starter Marcus Stroman.
- Rays vs. Yankees prediction: Rays to win (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Best Rays vs. Yankees player props: Taylor Walls Over 0.5 hits (-141 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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🤔 Rays vs. Yankees betting insights
The latest Rays vs. Yankees betting insights are from BetMGM as of Thursday afternoon:
| Team | Run Line | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | 29% (-1.5, +140) | 42% (-118) | 74% (Over 8.5, -118) |
| Yankees | 71% (+1.5, -170) | 58% (-102) | 26% (Under 8.5, -102) |
💰 Rays vs. Yankees prediction & best bet
✅ Rays vs. Yankees prediction: Rays to win (-102 via FanDuel)
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My Rays vs. Yankees prediction expects the visitors to earn a series split at Yankee Stadium this afternoon. New York has made plenty of errors this series (four in three games), and I expect Tampa Bay to capitalize on that with the hosts continuing to trip over their own feet.
Aaron Boone turns to Marcus Stroman to try and snag a third win for the Yankees. However, he's struggled this season, surrendering three or more earned runs in five of his eight starts. This poor run includes giving up four runs across 3 2/3 frames last time out against Philadelphia.
Stroman's ERA has ballooned to 6.09, but the more worrying number is his 21:16 strikeout-to-walk ratio on the campaign. He's issuing free passes at an alarming rate, something Tampa Bay's small-ball style capitalizes on regularly.
Meanwhile, the Rays look to the oft-reliable Ryan Pepiot as they try to leave town with a split. Pepiot has given up five runs in two starts (10 1/3 innings) against New York this year. Despite his 0-2 record against the Yankees - thanks to zero run support, literally - he's been solid against Tampa Bay's bitter division rival.
My Rays vs. Yankees best bet expects the visitors to take advantage of sloppy play from the hosts once again. Tampa Bay's -102 odds at the best sports betting apps imply a 50.5% probability that the betting underdogs win outright.
💰 Best Rays vs. Yankees player props
✅ Best Rays vs. Yankees player prop: Taylor Walls Over 0.5 hits (-141 via Caesars)
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Walls' batting average for the season (.223) doesn't exactly jump off the page, but perhaps that's why Yankees fans have been so frustrated at his success in this series. The veteran has four hits in the previous three games against New York, and if historical trends tell us anything, he won't slow down this afternoon.
The shortstop has faced Stroman nine times in his career to date. Walls has five hits in those at-bats, including four singles and a double. He's gone Over 0.5 hits at an 80% clip over his last 10 games, so I'm comfortable recommending this play at four-star confidence.
My best Rays vs. Yankees player prop plays it safe with Walls. I'm betting on him to record a hit at the -141 odds offered by Caesars. However, our best sportsbooks price a third multi-hit game in his last five outings at +410, which could be worth a flier, as well.
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❓MLB betting FAQs
How do betting odds work?
Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common.
What is the run line in baseball?
The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.
What does moneyline mean in betting?
The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet - just pick the winner.
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