Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: MLB Best Bets for Sept. 3
In what could be a potential National League playoff preview, the Milwaukee Brewers (85-54) host the Philadelphia Phillies (80-58) on Wednesday, and I'm breaking down the matchup with my Phillies vs. Brewers prediction.
I'm fading Milwaukee, which is a -115 favorite to win Game 2 of this midweek matchup. I instead expect the visitors to win another high-scoring affair for tonight’s MLB picks after Philadelphia earned a 10-8 win in Monday’s series opener.
Phillies star Kyle Schwarber’s player prop is also worth a play. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET at American Family Field.
⚾ Phillies vs. Brewers expert picks & predictions
MLB expert picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Phillies (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Run line pick: Phillies -1.5 (+162 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 9 (+100 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📝 Phillies vs. Brewers preview & best bet
Track the latest MLB scores for line movement and matchup info.
🔔 Phillies to win (-102) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I have similar confidence in the Phillies’ moneyline and the Over, which is why I’m tempted to create a same-game parlay between those two markets. A $10 bet at FanDuel nets a $23 profit for that SGP.
Projections are certainly on my side. Ballpark Pal’s model expects the Phillies to win, 6.06-5.29. It wouldn’t surprise me to see a similar score to Monday’s 10-8 affair.
Philadelphia can knock around Milwaukee left-hander Jose Quintana on Wednesday. The Phillies are eighth in the league in on-base percentage against southpaws, while Quintana allowed six runs on five hits in his last start.
Phillies righty Aaron Nola, meanwhile, is 7-2 with a 2.64 ERA in 14 career starts against the Brewers. I’ll take the short price with the Phillies, netting a profit of $9.80 on a $10 bet.
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💰 Best Phillies vs. Brewers player prop bet
Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
The Phillies’ Kyle Schwarber continues to lead all of baseball with 119 RBI on the season, so I don’t mind his +100 price to drive in a run. But I’ll bank on a bounce-back performance at the plate after he went 0-for-4 in Monday’s high-scoring affair.
THE BAT X’s model projects 2.35 hits, runs, and RBI for Schwarber on Wednesday. That suggests solid value at his -115 odds, in which a $10 wager nets a profit of $8.70. This exact ticket costs as much as -130 in the market, so I’m grabbing this value before it’s too late.
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📊 Phillies vs. Brewers odds: Sept. 3
MLB odds update live in real time.
📈 Phillies vs. Brewers betting odds analysis
The Brewers began as -115 favorites and have received 60% of bets as of this writing. The total started at nine, with 56% of wagers on the Over. The early action doesn’t provide much insight as to where odds will move before the game’s first pitch.
🔢 Phillies vs. Brewers stats
Season stats courtesy of baseball-reference.com.
| Phillies (80-58) | Statistic (per game) | Brewers (85-54) |
|---|---|---|
| 4.78 | Runs | 5.12 |
| 8.7 | Hits | 8.8 |
| .258 | AVG | .259 |
| .424 | SLG | .409 |
| .752 | OPS | .742 |
| 3.83 | ERA | 3.65 |
| 9.3 | K/9 | 8.8 |
| 2.8 | BB/9 | 3.3 |
| 1.1 | HR/9 | 1.1 |
🚑 Phillies vs. Brewers injuries
📺 Phillies vs. Brewers game info
- When: Wednesday, Sept. 3
- First pitch: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where: American Family Field (Milwaukee, Wis.)
- How to watch: Local TV
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❓ Phillies vs. Brewers FAQs
Who is favored to win Phillies vs. Brewers?
The Brewers are -115 favorites to defeat the Phillies on Wednesday at American Family Field.
What is the run line for Phillies vs. Brewers?
Philadelphia is a 1.5 run line favorite against Milwaukee, though it has plus-money odds to win by multiple runs.
What is the Over/Under for Phillies vs. Brewers?
The total for Wednesday’s Phillies-Brewers matchup is nine.
What are the best bets for Phillies vs. Brewers?
My best bets for Wednesday’s Phillies-Brewers game are Philadelphia moneyline and Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI.
When is the Phillies vs. Brewers game?
First pitch for Phillies vs. Brewers is set for 7:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday in American Family Field.
How do baseball odds work?
When betting on MLB, the run line shows how many runs the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by two or more runs to cover the run line, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by one run to cover the run line.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total of runs will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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