Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Tonight: More Skubal Dominance on Deck

We expect Tarik Skubal to continue to reign terror down on opposing hitters tonight versus a struggling Seattle side.
Mariners vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Tonight: Friday, July 11
Pictured: Detroit Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal (29) looks on during the seventh inning as we make our Mariners vs. Tigers prediction. Photo by Daniel Kucin Jr. via Imagn Images.

Having already established himself as the best pitcher in baseball, Tarik Skubal is rapidly headed toward generational talent territory, and he headlines our Mariners vs. Tigers prediction for tonight.

Skubal gets today's game underway when he takes the Comerica Park bump at 7:10 p.m. ET. Unfortunately, few will get to watch it because it's airing on Apple TV+, so you'll likely have to follow along via the box score.

The Tigers are significant betting favorites, and between those odds and Skubal's sky-high strikeout total, we found a creative way to get you a tasty plus-money prop for our Mariners vs. Tigers best bets.

  • Mariners vs. Tigers prediction: Tigers to win (-235 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Best Mariners vs. Tigers player props: Tarik Skubal daily strikeout leader (+250 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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✅ Mariners vs. Tigers prediction: Tigers moneyline (-235 via ESPN BET)

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Detroit has won 12 of Skubal's last 13 starts dating back to April 27, so making our Mariners vs. Tigers prediction is fairly straightforward.

Opposing Skubal is Luis Castillo, who's still a solid starting pitcher, but he does appear to be entering a decline in his career. Castillo's 4.58 xERA tells the story of a pitcher who's relatively lucky to have the surface stats he does, and he's managing a career low in strikeouts.

Look for the Tigers and their seventh-best offense (by wRC+) to pounce on any mistake Castillo makes, and Skubal will take care of the rest.

For those interested in betting on this game's total, I think the immediate reaction is to take the Under, but I'm somewhat interested in taking the Over on this very low total of 7.

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💰 Best Mariners vs. Tigers player props

✅ Best Mariners vs. Tigers player prop: Tarik Skubal daily strikeout leader (+250 via Caesars)

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Sure, you could simply bet Skubal's Over 8.5 strikeouts, with the best odds being +115 at BetMGM. However, I'm taking a different route for our best Mariners vs. Tigers player props.

Skubal's strikeout projection is so much higher than any other pitcher's today. Paul Skenes is getting the second-highest projection, and it's more than one full strikeout lower than Skubal's number.

Secondly, let's look at the listed strikeout totals at our best sports betting sites. The second-highest total listed for any pitcher is 6.5. That means they could all go two strikeouts Over their total while Skubal could go Under his 8.5 number on the hook, and they'd still tie today.

Therefore, I'd rather bet on these +250 odds that Skubal not only dominates the Mariners today, but also the rest of the field.

🤔 Mariners vs. Tigers betting insights

As of Friday afternoon, the Mariners vs. Tigers game is receiving a lot of action at BetMGM. This is because Detroit is one of the most bet teams across MLB - in terms of both handle and tickets - despite the host's heavily juiced odds (-235).

This game is the most popular NRFI bet across the popular sportsbook, a flier our Dustin Saracini recommended in today's best NRFI bets.

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Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common. 

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The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.

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The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet—just pick the winner.

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