MLB Home Run Leader Odds 2026: Judge Narrowly Ahead of Ohtani as Spring Training Opens

Aaron Judge is slightly ahead of fellow slugger Shohei Ohtani in the MLB home run leader odds to begin 2026.
New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge reacts, and he's key as we look at the MLB home run leader odds.
Pictured: New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge reacts, and he's key as we look at the MLB home run leader odds. Photo by Brad Penner/ Imagn.
Enjoying SBR content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

There are some familiar sluggers sitting atop the MLB home run leader odds to start a new campaign, though the position of at least one name is surprising.

Cal Raleigh led MLB with 60 dingers last year, and yet the standout catcher sits fourth by the odds to repeat. He's getting +100 betting odds, well behind the front-runners Aaron Judge (+400) and Shohei Ohtani (+500).

Can Raleigh prove his jump up from 34 homers in 2024 was no fluke? Or will Judge and Ohtani run away from the pack again?


💣 Home run leader odds 2026

Our live MLB home run leader odds are based on the top MLB odds.


🗠 Home run leader opening odds

Odds as of February 2026.

Player Odds
Aaron Judge +400
Shohei Ohtani +400
Kyle Schwarber +900
Cal Raleigh +1100
Nick Kurtz +1200
Pete Alonso +1300
Junior Caminero +2500
Juan Soto +2500
Matt Olson +3000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +4000
Eugenio Suarez +4500
Fernando Tatis Jr. +5000
Ronald Acuna Jr. +5000
Yordan Alvarez +5000
Julio Rodriguez +5500
Brent Rooker +6000
Bobby Witt Jr. +8000
Jac Caglianone +8000
Bryce Harper +8000
Austin Riley +10000

📜 Home run leader odds history

Odds via the best sports betting sites.

🏆 Past home run leaders

Year Player Team Closing odds
2025 Cal Raleigh Seattle Mariners +10000
2024 Aaron Judge New York Yankees +375
2023 Matt Olson Atlanta Braves +2500
2022 Aaron Judge New York Yankees +1300
2021 Salvador Perez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Kansas City Royals/Toronto Blue Jays Perez: N/A, Guerrero: +5000
2020 Luke Voit New York Yankees N/A
2019 Pete Alonso New York Mets N/A
2018 Khris Davis Oakland Athletics +4000
2017 Giancarlo Stanton Miami Marlins +750
2016 Mark Trumbo Baltimore Orioles +5000
2015 Chris Davis Baltimore Orioles +1800

❓ Home run leader FAQs

Who's the favorite to lead MLB in home runs during 2026?

Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees is the favorite while getting +400 odds from the best MLB betting sites.

Who led MLB in home runs during 2025?

Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners led MLB after clubbing 60 homers.

When will the 2026 MLB home run leader be decided?

Whoever leads MLB in home runs at the conclusion of the regular season will win this market. The 2025 season ends on Sept. 27.


📃 Affiliate disclosure

Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)