MLB Home Run Leader Odds 2026: Judge Narrowly Ahead of Ohtani as Spring Training Opens
Last Updated: February 12, 2026 3:30 PM EST • 2 minute read X Social Google News Link
There are some familiar sluggers sitting atop the MLB home run leader odds to start a new campaign, though the position of at least one name is surprising.
Cal Raleigh led MLB with 60 dingers last year, and yet the standout catcher sits fourth by the odds to repeat. He's getting +100 betting odds, well behind the front-runners Aaron Judge (+400) and Shohei Ohtani (+500).
Can Raleigh prove his jump up from 34 homers in 2024 was no fluke? Or will Judge and Ohtani run away from the pack again?
💣 Home run leader odds 2026
Our live MLB home run leader odds are based on the top MLB odds.
🗠 Home run leader opening odds
Odds as of February 2026.
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | +400 |
| Shohei Ohtani | +400 |
| Kyle Schwarber | +900 |
| Cal Raleigh | +1100 |
| Nick Kurtz | +1200 |
| Pete Alonso | +1300 |
| Junior Caminero | +2500 |
| Juan Soto | +2500 |
| Matt Olson | +3000 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | +4000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +4500 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | +5000 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | +5000 |
| Yordan Alvarez | +5000 |
| Julio Rodriguez | +5500 |
| Brent Rooker | +6000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | +8000 |
| Jac Caglianone | +8000 |
| Bryce Harper | +8000 |
| Austin Riley | +10000 |
📜 Home run leader odds history
Odds via the best sports betting sites.
🏆 Past home run leaders
| Year | Player | Team | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cal Raleigh | Seattle Mariners | +10000 |
| 2024 | Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | +375 |
| 2023 | Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | +2500 |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | +1300 |
| 2021 | Salvador Perez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Kansas City Royals/Toronto Blue Jays | Perez: N/A, Guerrero: +5000 |
| 2020 | Luke Voit | New York Yankees | N/A |
| 2019 | Pete Alonso | New York Mets | N/A |
| 2018 | Khris Davis | Oakland Athletics | +4000 |
| 2017 | Giancarlo Stanton | Miami Marlins | +750 |
| 2016 | Mark Trumbo | Baltimore Orioles | +5000 |
| 2015 | Chris Davis | Baltimore Orioles | +1800 |
❓ Home run leader FAQs
Who's the favorite to lead MLB in home runs during 2026?
Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees is the favorite while getting +400 odds from the best MLB betting sites.
Who led MLB in home runs during 2025?
Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners led MLB after clubbing 60 homers.
When will the 2026 MLB home run leader be decided?
Whoever leads MLB in home runs at the conclusion of the regular season will win this market. The 2025 season ends on Sept. 27.
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Sean Tomlinson X social