⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: Top No Run First Inning Picks & Expert Predictions (May 26)
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Tuesday (May 26)
We're now 26-15 over the last month after winning our two-unit play yesterday. Tonight, we’re targeting the Braves vs. Red Sox and Phillies vs. Padres matchups to stay scoreless through the first inning. We're targeting big arms and strong strikeout numbers today. Six outs is all we need - let's stay hot this year.
⚾ Best NRFI bets today: May 26
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ⚾ NRFI pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Braves vs. Red Sox NRFI (-115) | 2u → 1.73u | Red Sox own .198 xBA vs. Strider |
| Phillies vs. Padres NRFI (-115) | 1u -> 0.86u | Nola strikes out Padres at a 34% clip |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.59 units
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💰 Best NRFI bets today for Tuesday
Braves vs. Red Sox NRFI (-115) - 6:45 p.m. ET
- Spencer Strider (3.00 ERA) vs. Ranger Suarez (2.40 ERA)
- NRFI records: Braves (24-30) vs. Red Sox (26-26)
If you've been following, you know I love a strong sample size, and that's exactly what we're getting with Suarez against the Braves. Across 213 plate appearances against him, the Red Sox own just a .227 xBA with an average exit velo of just 85 MPH. This lineup hasn't been able to square him up; he's not issuing free passes (7% walk rate), and his strikeout rate (21%) is nothing to balk at. The Braves' offense is also struggling, scoring just one run over its last 18 innings. On the other side, Strider is limiting this Red Sox lineup to a .240 xwOBA - let's fire this up with confidence as part of our best NRFI bets today.
🤑 More MLB player props for Tuesday
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's home run predictions for Tuesday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Phillies vs. Padres NRFI (-115) - 9:40 p.m. ET
- Aaron Nola (6.04 ERA) vs. Randy Vasquez (2.96 ERA)
- NRFI records: Phillies (25-29) vs. Padres (34-19)
Is Nola washed? Potentially. Does he own the Padres? Absolutely. Across 81 at-bats against him, he's striking the Padres out at a 34% clip. It helps that Manny Machado (3-for-23), Nick Castellanos (3-for-16), and Fernando Tatis Jr. (0-for-6) can't touch him. Let's rock with the vet tonight. San Diego is one of the best NRFI teams in baseball, and we're trusting Vasquez to get the job done against a Phillies team that hasn't scored more than three runs in four straight games.
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-31 | +7.03 units |
| NRFI picks | 33-29 | +5.49 units |
💡 How I'm betting NRFI picks today (May 26)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
❓ NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
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