⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Tuesday, May 12
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Tuesday (May 12)
We got reverse swept last night but are still on a 16-7 run over our last 12 days - let's stay hot and continue cashing on this fine Tuesday. We're targeting the Rockies vs. Pirates and Tigers vs. Mets to get us six simple outs as we target K rate and expected batting average against each respective starter. Let's continue to throw up zeroes this season, shall we?
ā¾ Best NRFI bets today: May 12
See all of our expertsā MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ā¾ NRFI pick | šµ Units | š Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Rockies vs. Pirates NRFI (-142) | 2u ā 1.40u | Skenes owns 31.3% K rate vs. Pirates |
| Tigers vs. Mets NRFI (-120) | 1u -> 0.83u | Mets own .210 xBA vs. Flaherty |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.23 units
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
š° Best NRFI bets today for Tuesday
Rockies vs. Pirates NRFI (-142) - 6:40 p.m. ET
- Michael Lorenzen (6.92 ERA) vs. Paul Skenes (2.36 ERA)
- NRFI records: Rockies (16-25) vs. Pirates (21-20)
When you're getting -142 betting odds with Skenes on the mound, you absolutely have to take advantage. Most of the time, that's an auto clean inning, but when he's up against the Rockies, I'd like to think of it as the coughing baby vs. hydrogen bomb meme. Lorenzen is the real reason why I like this play as our best NRFI bets today. Pittsburgh owns just a .232 xBA while striking out at a 31.3% clip against the righty across 64 plate appearances, giving me all the confidence in the world we can get our six simple outs tonight.
🤑 More MLB player props for Tuesday
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's home run predictions for Tuesday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Tigers vs. Mets NRFI (-120) - 7:10p.m. ET
- Jack Flaherty (5.56 ERA) vs. Freddy Peralta (3.12 ERA)
- NRFI records: Tigers (24-17) vs. Mets (20-20)
We've cashed in on both of these pitchers this season, so we're going back to the well here. Stop if you've heard this before, but we love Flaherty's sample size against the Mets. Yes, he's not having the best season, but there's something about the New York uniform he loves to see. Striking the Mets out at a 22% rate, New York owns just a .210 xBA against him, which includes Juan Soto going 2-for-11 lifetime against the righty. On the other side, Peralta has been quietly hot, allowing just five earned runs across his last 16.2 innings. Let's ride.
šµ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-25 | +5.02 units |
| NRFI picks | 23-23 | +3.57 units |
š” How I'm betting NRFI picks today (May 12)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
ā NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
Related Articles
