⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Monday, April 20
📡 SBR Edge: Best NRFI Bets Today for Monday (April 20)
It's time to get back to sweeping the board on this fine Monday. We're targeting the Blue Jays vs. Angels and Phillies vs. Cubs to get us six simple outs. We're looking at quality strikeout percentages today to get us over the line. Let's throw up a few zeroes as we enter the week, shall we?
ā¾ Best NRFI bets today: April 20
See all of our expertsā MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| ā¾ NRFI pick | šµ Units | š Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays vs. Angels NRFI (-135) | 1u ā .74u | Cease owns 37% K rate vs. Angels |
| Phillies vs. Cubs NRFI (-145) | 1u -> .68u | Nola owns 25% K rate vs. Cubs |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.42 units
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š° Best NRFI bets today for Monday
Blue Jays vs. Angels NRFI (-135) - 9:38 p.m. ET
- Dylan Cease (1.74 ERA) vs. Reid Detmers (3.57 ERA)
- NRFI records: Blue Jays (10-11) vs. Angels (10-13)
Cease is off to an incredible campaign with the Blue Jays and hasn't allowed a run in the first frame in three of four starts this year. On top of that, he's got a huge sample size against this Angels lineup, striking them out at a 37% clip while limiting Los Angeles to a .189 xBA across 91 plate appearances. That'll play. On the other side, while the Jays are hitting .267 against Detmers, Vladdy has had his struggles against him, going 1-for-7 with an 84.5 average EV. That should be enough to get us out of the first inning unscathed.
🤑 More MLB props
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's home run predictions for Monday if you're looking to cash in on some long balls today.
Phillies vs. Cubs NRFI (-145) - 7:40 p.m. ET
- Aaron Nola (4.03 ERA) vs. Colin Rea (3.64 ERA)
- NRFI records: Phillies (7-14) vs. Cubs (14-7)
We've got two pitchers with extremely large sample sizes going head-to-head tonight. Nola has 224 plate appearances under his belt against the Cubs, limiting them to a .231 xBA while striking the lineup out at a 25% clip. Rea comes out of the gate hot, too, and hasn't allowed a run in the first inning all season. Over 111 plate appearances, the Phillies are hitting just .236 against the righty. We should be good for six outs here - fire this play up with confidence as part of our best NRFI bets today.
šµ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | -4.99 units |
| NRFI picks | 11-14 | -2.99 units |
š” How I'm betting NRFI picks today (April 20)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
No matter the day, I look at how a pitcher matches up specifically to the lineup he's taking on. What's their expected batting average against him? What's their strikeout rate? What's each team's NRFI record? More specifically, how do the top three batters fare against a specific pitcher? These are all thoughts that need to run through your mind before placing a high-variance bet like a NRFI, and slide your units accordingly.
ā NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.,
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