Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Props, Picks, Parlay & Odds For Tuesday, June 30
My best home run predictions today highlight Juan Soto, who's prone to doing damage against Toronto Blue Jays ace Kevin Gausman.
Elsewhere, I'm locked in on Bryce Harper and William Contreras, who both have great opportunities to tee off as part of my MLB home run picks. Let's dive right in on Tuesday's 15-game slate and cash on some long balls, shall we?
βΎ Home run predictions today: MLB HR picks & odds June 30
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| π£ Home run pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper to hit a home run (+300 via FanDuel) | 0.25u β .75u | Harper has three HR in his last five games |
| Juan Soto to hit a home run (+265 via FanDuel) | 0.25u β .66u | .669 xSLG vs. Gausman in his career |
| William Contreras to hit a home run (+470 via FanDuel) | 0.25u β 1.17u | Five homers in month of June |
Total wagered: .75 units | Max profit:2.58 units
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π£ Best home run predictions & odds today
Home run pick: Juan Soto (+265)
Look away, Blue Jays fans, you might have a Kevin Gausman problem, and Soto is going to take advantage tonight. Gausman has not only had command issues this month, but he's given up at least one bomb over his last five starts, surrendering three long balls his last time out against the Rangers. Soto owns a .298 xBA and .668 xSLG against the right in his career, hitting one bomb in 17 at-bats. He gets his second tonight at the homer-friendly Rogers Centre in Toronto. Let's fire him up as part of my best home run predictions today.
- Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Sportsnet, MLB.TV, SNY
📡 SBR Edge: Balls fly in Toronto
The Rogers Centre hasn't been holding the ball well this year, already allowing 109 long balls - good for seventh-most in MLB.
π₯ More home run predictions today
Home run pick: Bryce Harper (+300)
Harper's found his power stroke, hitting three bombs across his last five games. Funny enough, he's only had one at-bat against Bubba Chandler, the man who is on the mound today - and yes, he hit a bomb off of him. Harper owns the best xSLG (.561) in his last five seasons, and is hitting at a stadium that has given up the fifth-most home runs (115) this year. It helps that 17 of his 20 homers this year have come against righties, too - that should play today.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MLB.TV, SportsNet Pittsburgh, NBC Sports Philadelphia
Home run pick: William Contreras (+470)
Contreras likes what he sees against Rhett Lowder over his career - he's 3-for-5 with a home run with an xSLG of 1.065. That will absolutely play for us. There's no two ways about it: Lowder is having a lousy season, and Contreras will be sitting fastball today to punish him. Seven of his nine bombs this year have come on the fastball, a pitch he owns a .294 xBA and .503 xSLG against. Let's cash on some long balls, shall we?
- Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MLB.TV, Reds.TV, Brewers.TV
🤑 More MLB player props
Looking for more picks? Dive into Mike Spector's Tigers vs. Yankees prediction today.
π Best home run parlay picks today
💵 Best MLB home run parlay today
- Bryce Harper to hit a home run (+300)
- Juan Soto to hit a home run (+265)
- William Contreras to hit a home run (+470)
Best odds: +8222 via bet365 (0.1u -> 82u)
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