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MLB Player Prop Bets Today: 9-2

Mike Spector

Last Updated: September 2, 2024 11:03 AM EDT • 3 min 55 sec read.

Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Corbin Burnes delivers to the plate in the first inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers. We're backing Burnes in our MLB player prop bets.
Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Corbin Burnes delivers to the plate in the first inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/USA TODAY Sports via Imagn.

The first week of September kicks off with a loaded 11-game MLB slate on Labor Day.

A big theme of the day is high-profile matchups between teams in first and second-place within the same division - each of them hoping to climb the World Series odds.

I cover two of those matchups in today’s MLB player prop bets, as the Kansas City Royals look to stop a five-game losing streak with a home meeting against the Cleveland Guardians.

Elsewhere, the Arizona Diamondbacks look to trim the Los Angeles Dodgers’ lead to four games with LA as a -140 moneyline favorite at our top MLB betting sites.

I also examine if Corbin Burnes can snap out of his funk against the historically bad Chicago White Sox, and if the Chicago Cubs’ run of offense will continue against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Today’s MLB player props

MLB picks based on odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

MLB prop bets for Monday

Prediction: Corbin Burnes Under 1.5 earned runs ⭐⭐⭐⭐

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Odds-110OFF-110-109-105

Best odds: -105 via bet365 | Implied probability: 51.22%

Burnes has pitched nothing like an ace of late. He began August with 22 runs allowed through his first four starts, the most runs he allowed in any four-game span in his career.

He followed that up with six runs allowed against the Dodgers in his last start, and while one of those were earned, he still took the loss for a third straight start. However, Burnes has faced four top-13 offenses this month, while a meeting with the MLB-worst White Sox should be the perfect remedy for his struggles. 

A $10 winning wager pays a $9.52 profit.

Game info: 

  • White Sox vs. Orioles
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards (Baltimore, Md.)
  • First pitch: 3:05 p.m. ET
  • Moneyline: Orioles (-390 via bet365)
  • Total: 8.5 via bet365
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Prediction: Michael Wacha to record a win ⭐⭐⭐

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Odds+165OFFOFF+152+170

Best odds: +170 via bet365 | Implied probability: 37.04%

Michael Wacha has gone 11 consecutive starts without a loss, and has seven wins in that span. The Royals are 9-2 in those 11 starts.

In his lone home start against the Guardians, he held them to one run in 5 1/3 innings while using his changeup as a weapon (he induced seven whiffs on 19 swings). And even in the 7-5 loss in his last time out against Cleveland, Kansas City held a 5-2 lead after six innings, and just made the mistake of leaving Wacha in too long. 

I'm risking $10 for Wacha to record the win with the hopes of turning that into a $17 profit.

Game info: 

  • Guardians vs. Royals
  • Venue: Kauffman Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
  • First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Moneyline: Royals (-115 via bet365)
  • Total: 8.5 via bet365

Prediction: Corbin Carroll Over 0.5 runs scored ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Odds+100-135+100-104+100

Best odds: +100 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 50%

Arizona has scored 47 more runs than any other team in the majors, and its offense has been especially hot lately, with 94 runs scored over its last 21 games.

Leadoff hitter Corbin Carroll entered Sunday as the igniter for that recent stretch of success, especially over the last week, when he tied for the team-lead in runs scored (six) and had a .348/.346/1.043 slash line.

Carroll has three hits, all extra-base hits, in 10 at-bats against Jack Flaherty, and Flaherty has allowed a combined .318 on-base percentage and .870 OPS in 121 at-bats against current Diamondbacks hitters.

Bettors who back Carroll to score a run would double their money on a winning wager with DraftKings’ +100 odds.

Game info: 

  • Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks
  • Venue: Chase Field (Phoenix, Ariz.)
  • First pitch: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Moneyline: Dodgers (-140 via bet365)
  • Total: 8.5 via bet365
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Prediction: Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 RBIs ⭐⭐⭐

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Odds+200+165OFF+190+210

Best odds: +210 via bet365 | Implied probability: 32.26%

The Chicago Cubs entered Sunday with 85 runs scored in their previous nine games.

That was Chicago’s most runs scored in a nine-game span since 1935, and just the fourth time it had scored 85-plus runs in a nine-game span since 1900, per MLB’s Sarah Langs. And what did they do for an encore? Chicago’s 14 runs on Sunday brought it to 99 runs scored in its last 10 games, the franchise's second-most since 1900. 

Seiya Suzuki had been at the forefront of the Cubs’ offensive explosion, as he slashed .364/.444/.636 with three home runs and eight runs batted in over the last 15 days.

He faces Pittsburgh Pirates righty Jared Jones, whose slugging and OPS allowed to right-handed batters versus lefties are 29 and 43 points higher, respectively. 

A $10 winning wager at bet365’s +210 odds pays a $21 profit.

Game info: 

  • Pirates vs. Cubs
  • Venue: Wrigley Field (Chicago, Ill.)
  • First pitch: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Moneyline: Cubs (-150 via bet365)
  • Total: 7.5 via bet365 

MLB betting odds pages

World Series OddsMLB Rookie of the Year OddsMLB Cy Young Award Odds
MLB MVP OddsWorld Series MVP OddsMLB Win Totals
MLB Home Run Derby Odds

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”