⛳ Valero Texas Open Round 3 Picks & Predictions: Robert MacIntyre in the lead at -14

My Valero Texas Open Round 3 picks and predictions are set as the tournament shifts into what should be a thrilling moving day at TPC San Antonio in San Antonio. With a tightly packed leaderboard, this is a prime spot for bettors to get involved with live wagers on the outright winner and various finishing positions.

Third-round props can present solid value if you’ve been tracking how Friday unfolded. Weather could play a major role, as stormy conditions are expected on Saturday. The field will be chasing Robert MacIntyre, who fired a combined -14 through the first two rounds to take the lead.

Let’s break down the top value plays heading into Saturday’s action.

⛳ Valero Texas Open Round 3 leaderboard & odds

Here is Valero Texas Open leaderboard heading into Round 3 at TPC San Antonio; outright odds via DraftKings.

🏆 Who'll win the Valero Texas Open?

Here are my golf picks for Round 3 of the Valero Texas Open on Saturday:

Ludvig Aberg (+500)

Ludvig Aberg sitting at -10 through two rounds at the Valero Texas Open may look like he's chasing, but don't be fooled - this is exactly the kind of position he thrives in. Aberg is one of the most talented ball-strikers on the entire PGA Tour, possessing the length and precision needed to make a serious run at TPC San Antonio.

Robert MacIntyre leads at -14, but four shots is completely manageable over 36 holes for a player of Aberg's caliber. With the Masters looming next week, Aberg arrives in San Antonio supremely motivated and dialed in. Expect him to go low this weekend, hunt MacIntyre down, and close out his second PGA Tour victory.

💰 Best Round 3 props for the Texas Valero Open

Ryo Hisatsune: Top-10 finish (-125)

Ryo Hisatsune quietly positioning himself inside the top-10 at the Valero Texas Open is no accident, and bettors sleeping on him are making a costly mistake. Sitting at -8 and tied for seventh heading into the weekend, Hisatsune has the game and the composure to hold his position and potentially climb the leaderboard over the final two rounds at TPC San Antonio.

The 23-year-old Japanese star has shown flashes of brilliance all season, combining elite ball-striking with a calm, methodical approach that suits up perfectly. TPC San Antonio rewards patience and precision off the tee - two things Hisatsune does well. He's not going to be rattled by the weekend pressure or the leaderboard noise around him. With only four shots separating him from the lead, a top-10 finish feels like the floor for Hisatsune this weekend. Back him with confidence.

Tony Finau: Top USA (+435)

Tony Finau is in a prime position to finish as the top American at the Valero Texas Open, entering the weekend tied for 3rd and holding a share of the best score among all American players in the field. His consistent ball-striking and ability to gain strokes off the tee and on approach have him firmly in contention, and he’s shown the ability to stay composed in tightly contested tournaments.

With several top international players ahead of him, Finau’s path to being the top American remains strong, especially given his current form and comfort on this course. If he can maintain his steady play and take advantage of scoring opportunities, particularly on the par 5s, he should separate himself from the rest of the American pack and finish as the top U.S. player this weekend.

Tommy Fleetwood: Top English (-125)

Tommy Fleetwood is well-positioned to finish as the top English player at the Valero Texas Open, currently sitting tied for 13th at -7. He is just one shot behind fellow Englishman John Parry, who also sits at -7 and holds the early edge in that market.

Fleetwood’s experience and consistency give him a strong advantage heading into the weekend, especially in a tightly packed leaderboard where one low round can make a major difference. His elite ball-striking and ability to avoid costly mistakes should allow him to climb past Parry and any other English contenders. If Fleetwood can generate a few more birdie opportunities and stay steady in challenging conditions, he has a great chance to separate himself and finish as the top English player.

🌧️ Saturday's weather at TPC San Antonio 

Weather from Accuweather.com:

💵 My betting record for golf picks

All golf picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7.