Sony Open Odds, Favorites & Pick to Win 2026: PGA Tour Golf Betting Preview
Golf is back, and we're starting the 2026 PGA Tour season with our breakdown of the Sony Open odds and favorites, along with our best pick to win this week's event at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu.
Russell Henley is the favorite in the outright betting market with +1100 odds (bet365) to win the Sony Open (8.33% implied win probability). The tournament will tee off on Thursday and run through Sunday, with a field of 120. Nick Taylor is back to defend last year's title with +4500 odds to repeat.
📊 Sony Open odds to win 2026
Our live Sony Open odds will update in real time based on the odds from our best golf betting sites.
🏆 Who is the favorite to win the Sony Open?
Russell Henley (+1100)
Henley won this event in 2013 for his first PGA Tour victory and more recently lost in a playoff in 2022. He ranks fifth in this week's field with 1.29 true strokes gained on the field per round across his 46 career rounds played at Waialae.
Henley excels with his irons and short game, and those are the key statistics at this key course each year. I have no problem with his odds, which represent a 8.33% implied win probability, according to our odds converter. I just prefer to back an outright winner pick with longer odds, given the recent winners of this event.
⛳️ How to bet Russell Henley
I still want to get some action on Henley this week, given his excellent course history and statistical fit. I consider him a value play at plus-money for a top-10 finish.
We can get +140 odds from FanDuel to turn a $10 bet into a $14 profit.
💰 Pick to win the Sony Open
J.J. Spaun (+1900)
Let's see if last season was a breakout or fluke for J.J. Spaun, who enters the 2026 season at No. 6 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), one spot below Henley.
Then-34, Spaun won the U.S. Open by two strokes for just his second PGA Tour win and first in over three years. He previously lost The Players Championship (Rory McIlroy) and later the FedEx St. Jude Championship (Justin Rose) in a playoff.
Like Henley, Spaun excels with his irons, short game, and most notably last season, his putter. He's played 22 career rounds at Waialae Country Club and tied for third last year as his best result to date. His odds have dropped across the board thorugh the day, but DraftKings leads the market at +1900 (bet $10 to win $190).
💡 More golf predictions
Want more golf betting advice? Check out all of our golf picks and expert predictions for every game this season.
🌴 Waialae Country Club course info & key stats
Here's what to know to handicap the Sony Open at Waialae Country Club:
| Course info | Key stats |
|---|---|
| Par: 70 | Strokes gained: approach |
| Yardage: 7,044 | Strones gained: around-the-green |
| Greens: Bermuda grass | Proximity from 150-175 yards |
⛳ Sony Open tournament info 2026
- Where: Waialei Country Club (Honolulu)
- When: Thursday, Jan. 15 - Sunday, Jan. 18
- Field: 120
- Favorite: Russell Henley (+1100 via bet365)
- Defending champion: Nick Taylor
- Purse: $9.1 million
- FedEx Cup points: 500
📜 Sony Open betting history
Here are the recent winners of the Sony Open at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu:
| Year | Winner | Score to par | Odds (prior to Round 1) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Nick Taylor | -16 (playoff) | +10000 |
| 2024 | Grayson Murray | -17 (playoff) | +40000 |
| 2023 | Siwoo Kim | -18 | +4000 |
| 2022 | Hideki Matsuyama | -23 (playoff) | +1800 |
| 2021 | Kevin Na | -21 | +6000 |
| 2020 | Cameron Smith | -11 (playoff) | +4000 |
| 2019 | Matt Kuchar | -22 | +4000 |
| 2018 | Patton Kizzire | -17 (playoff) | +6000 |
| 2017 | Justin Thomas | -27 | +1500 |
| 2016 | Fabian Gomez | -20 (playoff) | +8000 |
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