⛳ CJ Cup Byron Nelson Picks: Best Bets to Win, Top Finishes & Sleeper Picks

The CJ Cup Byron Nelson returns to TPC Craig Ranch this week as golfers tee it up from May 21-24 in one of the PGA Tour’s premier birdie-fest events. With wide fairways, gettable par 5s, and low scores expected once again, bettors are already targeting their favorite outright picks and placement markets for the weekend. Scottie Scheffler enters as the overwhelming favorite at +160 and is featured in our CJ Cup Byron Nelson picks, and with a weaker field, it’s easy to see why he’s leading the odds board heading into this tournament.

Let’s dive into my outright winner, long-shot winner, and top finish market picks.

💰 CJ Cup Byron Nelson picks

Here are our top golf picks for CJ Cup Byron Nelson.

🏆 CJ Cup Byron Nelson pick to win: Scottie Scheffler (+160)

Scottie Scheffler is in an ideal position to win the CJ Cup Byron Nelson this weekend, especially with the event featuring a weaker field and many of the world’s top golfers taking the week off. Playing at TPC Craig Ranch, a course that rewards elite tee-to-green play and consistent iron performance, Scheffler’s all-around game gives him a clear edge over the competition.

His recent form has been decent, and in a reduced-strength field like this, his ability to separate on approach shots and maintain scoring consistency makes him the clear favorite to finish on top.

🎯 CJ Cup Byron Nelson sleeper pick: Michael Brennan (+5000)

Michael Brennan is a strong long-shot candidate to win the CJ Cup Byron Nelson this weekend thanks to his elite ball-striking and ability to go low on birdie-friendly courses. At TPC Craig Ranch, where scoring is expected to be extremely low, his aggressive style fits perfectly.

In a weaker field with many top-ranked players sitting out, Brennan has a real path to contend if he gains early momentum. If his irons stay sharp and he converts enough birdie opportunities, he has the upside to make a surprising weekend run and potentially pull off the upset victory.

🔥 Best CJ Cup Byron Nelson bet

Aldrich Potgieter (+185)

Aldrich Potgieter is a strong candidate to finish inside the top 20 at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson this week thanks to his elite driving distance and aggressive scoring profile.

At TPC Craig Ranch, a course that rewards big hitters who can attack par 5s and create wedge opportunities, his length gives him a clear advantage. In a weaker field setup with plenty of birdie chances available, Potgieter’s upside is significant if his short game holds steady. If he avoids big numbers, his power alone should keep him inside the top 20 throughout the weekend.

💵 My betting record for golf picks

All golf picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 7.

⚖️ How I'm handicapping CJ Cup Byron Nelson

I’m handicapping this tournament by focusing heavily on current form, driving distance, and approach play at TPC Craig Ranch, where birdies will come in bunches. With many top players taking the week off, I’m weighting opportunity over name value and targeting golfers who can separate in weak-field conditions. I’m also prioritizing elite scorers who can take advantage of par 5s and convert high birdie rates. In outright and placement markets, I’m looking for both proven winners and high-upside long shots who can get hot and stay aggressive for four rounds.

⛳ CJ Cup Byron Nelson tournament info 2026

• Where: TPC Craig Ranch (McKinney, TX)
• When: Thursday, May 21 - Sunday, May 24
• Field: 145
• Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+170 via FanDuel)
• Defending champion: Scottie Scheffler
• Purse: $10.3 million
• FedEx Cup points: 500