Wake Forest vs. Missouri Odds, Picks, Predictions College Football: Who Will Win Gasparilla Bowl?

Top college football picks for Wake Forest vs. Missouri in the Gasparilla Bowl on Friday, Dec. 23.

Philip Wood

Last updated: December 23, 2022 10:42 AM EST • 3 min read

Both Wake Forest and Missouri are struggling as the teams enter the Gasparilla Bowl. Read on for our best Wake Forest-Missouri college football pick based on the best odds.

At one point this season, the Demon Deacons were 6-1 overall and ranked 10th in the country. Yet, they struggled down the stretch, losing four of their last five.

Meanwhile, the Tigers won their final two games of the regular season just to achieve bowl eligibility. Missouri was an inconsistent team this season, taking down the South Carolina Gamecocks and losing by just four to the Georgia Bulldogs, while also losing to the Auburn Tigers and Florida Gators.

Here is our best Wake Forest vs. Missouri college football pick for the Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl (odds via BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Wake Forest vs. Missouri Game Info

Date: Friday, Dec. 23, 6:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Weather: 32 degrees, 13-mph winds, 4% chance of precipitation

Wake Forest vs. Missouri Odds

Wake Forest vs. Missouri Odds Analysis

The Demon Deacons opened as 3-point favorites, but the line dropped all the way to -1 before coming back up to -2.5. Currently, Wake Forest is getting 54% of the cash and 63% of the tickets.

As for the total, it's dropped all the way from 63.5 to 58.5. That's a significant fall, and it may keep going based on the trends. Right now, the Over is getting 59% of cash and 70% of the tickets.

Wake Forest vs. Missouri Pick

Over 58.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Both teams have been inconsistent this season, which makes this a tough game to pick. If the Demon Deacons’ offense and Sam Hartman are clicking, then they are tough to beat. Yet the Demon Deacons scored 30 or more points in each of their last three games, going 1-2 over that span.

It’s hard to know which Missouri team is going to step out onto the field. The team that showed up against Georgia and South Carolina looked like one of the best in the country, but the one that showed up against Auburn and Florida left a lot to be desired.

Therefore, the spread can be tricky to bet. So, even as this number continues to drop, the Over actually seems like the right play. Missouri has been a part of some low-scoring games this season, and they have the 39th-best pass defense in the NCAA. But the Demon Deacons are a top-10 passing team, and the Tigers have struggled with really good passing offenses this season.

Additionally, the Demon Deacons are in the bottom five in pass defense this season. Missouri barely cracks the top-100 in passing offense, but the Tigers also played in the SEC which makes it hard to produce a lot of points. Against the Demon Deacons, they should have no problem, and Wake Forest will score at least 21 points like they have done in every game this season.

Wake Forest vs. Missouri Best Odds

BetMGM (-110)

BetMGM	Caesars	DraftKings	FanDuel	PointsBet
O 58.5 (-110)	O 58.5 (-110)	O 59 (-110)	O 59.5 (-106)	O 58.5 (-110)

FanDuel is an outlier compared to all the other major sportsbooks, as they currently have the total set one point higher than three of the four other major books. DraftKings currently has the line set at 59, but all the other sportsbooks have it listed at 58.5.

It seems that the total is going to keep dropping as kickoff approaches, so you can probably wait to see if any of the sportsbooks drop this to 58 or lower. But if you want to pick right now, BetMGM, Caesars, or PointsBet are all good options.

Wake Forest vs. Missouri pick made 12/20/2022 at 4:22 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood

Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.