Troy vs. James Madison Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions: Sun Belt Championship

My Troy vs. James Madison anytime touchdown scorer predictions target the Dukes heavily, given their team total of 34.5 points. No. 25 James Madison scored 37.2 PPG during the year and should be looking to make an impression for the CFP committee in this matchup.

The action for the Sun Belt Championship between Troy and James Madison kicks off from Bridgeforth Stadium in Harrisonburg, Va., tonight at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). James Madison is a 23.5-point betting favorite as part of our college football conference championship predictions.

Troy vs. James Madison anytime touchdown scorer predictions

See all of our experts' college football picks for every conference championship.

Best Troy vs. James Madison TD picks

Search the best college football player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.

Alonza Barnett III, QB, James Madison (-190) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Alonza Barnett II is the engine of the James Madison offense, passing for 20 touchdowns this season while rushing for another 13 scores. Troy has allowed five rushing touchdowns over its past three games, with two of those going to the QB position.

The implied probability for Barnett to score a touchdown, based on the -190 odds from bet365, is 65.52%. Since he’s done it in eight of 12 games this season (66%) and has scored multiple touchdowns on numerous occasions, we consider these odds to be more than fair despite the extra juice.

A winning $10 bet on this prop would profit $5.26.

Our Matt Jacob has Barnett and the Dukes putting up plenty of points in his Troy vs. James Madison prediction.

Jordan Fuller, RB, James Madison (+160) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Barnett isn’t the only Duke that we like to find pay dirt on the ground in this matchup, as Troy’s 101st-ranked run defense (180.6 yards per game) has allowed 19 rushing touchdowns compared to only 14 passing scores on the year.

With running back Wayne Knight (not that one) seeing odds of -295, we’ll instead try RB Jordan Fuller, whose +160 odds from FanDuel come with an implied probability of 38.46%.

Fuller has missed the team’s last two games and is officially listed as a game-time decision for Friday. But if he plays, these odds in a favorable matchup are juicy for a player who has scored in three of his past four games. A winning $10 bet on this prop would profit $16.

RaRa Thomas, WR, Troy (+400) ⭐⭐⭐

Troy’s team total in this matchup sits at just 10.5 points, a reality which is reflected by the Trojans’ anytime TD scorer odds across our best sports betting sites. The shortest odds on a Troy player to score in this matchup - implying the likeliest candidate to do so - are for RB Tae Meadows (+265).

But considering the likelihood of a negative game script, plus the fact that JMU has allowed 14 passing touchdowns compared to only five rushing scores on the season, we’d rather target RaRa Thomas to make a splash through the air. He’s scored five times this year, including twice in Troy’s most recent game.

FanDuel offers Thomas’ anytime TD scorer odds at +400, which equates to an implied probability of 20%. A winning $10 bet on this prop would profit $40.

Our Isaiah Sirois is also backing Thomas to hit pay dirt in his Troy vs. James Madison player props.

Troy vs. James Madison anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live college football odds for every game this season.

How to watch Troy vs. James Madison: Sun Belt Championship

• Date: Friday, Dec. 5
• Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: Bridgeforth Stadium (Harrisonburg, Va.)
• TV: ESPN