Texas Tech vs. Houston Prediction Today: Latest College Football Week 6 Odds, Expert Picks
Our college football predictions for Week 6 continue with my Texas Tech vs. Houston prediction for tonight's matchup from TDECU Stadium in Houston at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN).
Texas Tech is an 11.5-point betting favorite, and I expect the Red Raiders’ dominance to continue with the first of my college football picks.
📊 Texas Tech vs. Houston odds today
Latest college football odds updated live in real time.
🏈 Texas Tech vs. Houston prediction today
College football expert picks for Week 6; confidence based on a 1-to-5 star scale.
- Game pick: Texas Tech -10.5 (-125 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 51.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: Behren Morton Over 262.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
💡 College football expert picks today
- College football picks against the spread Week 6
- College football player props Week 6
- College football upsets picks Week 6
- College football best bets Week 6
- College football moneyline parlay Week 6
- College football anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 6
✅ Texas Tech vs. Houston expert pick
Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.
🏴☠️ Texas Tech -10.5 (-125) ⭐⭐⭐
Much of my reasoning for backing Texas Tech as double-digit road favorites stems from its dominating 34-10 road win at Utah, which completed its first 4-0 start since 2013, before enjoying a bye last week.
The Red Raiders entered that game against the Utes allowing 1.5 yards per rush, the second-fewest in the country. Their defense also allowed 3.7 yards per play (ninth), and generated the second-most quarterback pressures (51) prior to that matchup.
It was a strength vs. strength matchup, as Utah had averaged 3.3 yards before contact per rush (ninth-highest), and converted third downs at a 71% clip (the second-highest among FBS teams).
All of these splits went Texas Tech’s way, as it held Utah to 3.3 yards per carry and 4-of-14 on third down, while out-gaining the Utes by 221 yards.
Not only has Texas Tech covered all four of its games this year by an average of 8.8 points, it is 5-0 ATS in its last five conference road games, and covered six of its last seven when at a rest advantage over its opponent since 2022.
This line has only returned back to its opening number of -10.5 at BetMGM, and I do not mind paying up slightly for the -125 price and 55.56% implied odds while getting as much as one point in extra value compared to the -11.5s at other shops. A $10 winning wager for a Red Raiders cover would return $8 in profits.
💰 Texas Tech vs. Houston player prop bet
Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Behren Morton Over 262.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Texas Tech quarterback Behren Morton was forced to leave the team’s win over Utah with a neck injury, but he's had two weeks after last week’s bye to heal.
Morton leads the No. 2 scoring offense in the country at 52 points per game, and his arm is the biggest reason for its FBS-leading 368.5 passing yards per game (nearly 17 more than the next-closest team).
Texas Tech’s passing attack is difficult to stop because of how well it spreads the ball around. The Red Raiders have five players between 200 and 260 receiving yards on the season, including three wide receivers, a tight end, and running back.
Houston’s defensive coordinator from last year, Shiel Wood, is now a part of the Texas Tech coaching staff. And even though the Cougars still rank 11th in pass defense while holding opponents to 140 pass yards per game in his absence, they have not seen a passing attack as explosive as Texas Tech’s this year.
FanDuel is one of the lone best sports betting sites offering a line on Morton’s passing yards as of this writing, so bettors should be sure to check for value as kickoff approaches. Through FanDuel’s -114 odds at a 53.27% implied probability, a $10 winning wager would return $8.77 in profits.
📺️ How to watch Texas Tech vs. Houston
- When: Saturday, Oct. 4
- Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Where: TDECU Stadium (Houston)
- TV: ESPN
Most bet college football markets today (BetMGM)
| Item | Most Bet Games (Tickets) | Most Bet Spreads (Tickets) | Most Bet Spreads (Handle) | Most Bet Totals (Tickets) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanderbilt at Alabama | Texas -5.5 | Texas -5.5 | Vanderbilt at Alabama Over 56.5 |
| 2 | Iowa State at Cincinnati U | Vanderbilt +11.5 | Alabama -11.5 | Miami Florida at Florida State Over 53.5 |
| 3 | Texas at Florida | Miami Florida -4.5 | Cincinnati U -1 | Wisconsin at Michigan Over 43.5 |
| 4 | Miami Florida at Florida State | Iowa State +1 | Notre Dame -21 | Boise State at Notre Dame Over 62.5 |
| 5 | Wisconsin at Michigan | Michigan -17.5 | Miami Florida -4.5 | Texas at Florida Under 45.5 |
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
Related Articles
