Best Pittsburgh vs. Florida State Player Prop Bets Today: Can Castellanos Win Through The Air?
My best Pittsburgh vs. Florida State player props anticipate the Florida State offense to ultimately knife through what I’m considering a paper-Panther defense. Influencing my college football predictions for Week 7 is the idea that the Pittsburgh defense, despite solid stats, hasn’t faced an attack like the one the Seminoles will bring to this game.
Our college football picks include player props involving Gavin Sawchuk, Tommy Castellanos and a key anytime TD scorer prop that lines up with the way Pitt has been beaten in the red zone this season. The action for Pittsburgh vs. Florida State kicks off from Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Fla., Saturday at noon ET (ESPN). Florida State is a 10-point betting favorite.
🏈 Pittsburgh vs. Florida State player props
College football player prop bets for Week 7; odds subject to change.
- Gavin Sawchuk Over 57.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Tommy Castellanos Over 234.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Randy Pittman Jr. anytime TD scorer (+235 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
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💰 Best Pittsburgh vs. Florida State player prop picks
Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Gavin Sawchuk Over 57.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Florida State ranks third in the nation in rushing offense (279.5 yards per game) and Gavin Sawchuk is the leader of the pack. Interestingly for this week’s matchup, though, is the way Pittsburgh shuts down the opposing run game. The Panthers allow just 73.5 yards per game on the ground.
I’m insisting that Pitt’s run defense isn’t as strong as the on-paper stats suggest, as some of its best efforts have come against teams ranking in the bottom 10 in FBS in rushing offense (Boston College and Louisville). We’re taking Sawchuk to clear a line he’s exceeded in two of his past three games.
The best odds on this prop comes from FanDuel with -114 odds. The implied probability at those odds is 53.27%. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $8.77.
Our Phil Wood's also counting on Sawchuk with his Pittsburgh vs. Florida State prediction.
💡 College football expert picks: Week 7
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- College football upset picks Week 7
- College football predictions for every top 25 game
- College football player props Week 7
- College football anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 7
- College football best bets Week 7
- College football Week 7 schedule: What to watch
⬆️Tommy Castellanos Over 234.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I do anticipate Pittsburgh’s ability to stop the run could impact Tommy Castellanos’ ability to get loose in the rushing game, but that could leave Florida State’s quarterback hunting to make an impact through the air.
Castellanos should have success in finding passing lanes against a Pittsburgh defense that ranks 80th in FBS in pass defense, allowing 241.3 passing yards per game.
Castellanos has cleared a 234.5-yard passing line in consecutive ACC contests. At publish time, FanDuel’s got the most favorable odds on this prop, with -114 odds on Over. The implied probability at those odds is 53.27%. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $8.77.
🔥 Randy Pittman Jr. anytime TD scorer (+235) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Pitt defense has surrendered six touchdowns through the air across four games against FBS opponents. For this matchup, it’s notable that four of those six receiving touchdowns have gone to the tight end position.
That’s why we’re targeting the anytime TD scorer prop of Florida State tight end Randy Pittman Jr. He has scored receiving touchdowns in two of his three games played. He has also tallied a rushing touchdown; FSU’s willingness to give him the ball in creative ways on the goal line makes him an attractive option at plus-money odds.
With odds of +235, DraftKings offers the most favorable odds on this prop. The implied probability at those odds is 29.85%. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $23.50.
📊 Pittsburgh vs. Florida State odds
Latest college football odds updated live in real time.
📺 How to watch Pittsburgh vs. Florida State: Week 7
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 11
- Kickoff: Noon ET
- Where: Doak Campbell Stadium (Tallahassee, Fla.)
- TV: ESPN
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