Oregon vs. Texas Tech Predictions for College Football Playoff | Orange Bowl Odds & Best Bets
In the only quarterfinal College Football Playoff matchup where the higher seed is an underdog, my Oregon vs. Texas Tech predictions are backing an elite defense to lead the Red Raiders to victory in the Orange Bowl.
Oregon is a 2.5-point betting favorite for Thursday's New Year's Day noon ET (ESPN) Orange Bowl matchup from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, in the second College Football Playoff quarterfinal of our college bowl game predictions.
Stay ahead this bowl season with our updated college football bowl game odds and schedule.
🏈 Oregon vs. Texas Tech predictions: College Football Playoff
See the latest college football odds and our college football picks for every bowl game.
| Predictions | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech ML | +115 via bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Kenyon Sadiq anytime TD | +175 via bet365 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Oregon vs. Texas Tech best bet for Orange Bowl
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Texas Tech ML (+115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Texas Tech fields one of the most complete teams in the country, thanks to billionaire alum Cody Campbell. Joey McGuire's team is the only program in the country ranked in the top three by SP+ on both offense and defense.
For as stellar as Dante Moore and Oregon have been, this is the best defense the Ducks have faced since losing to Indiana at home. Texas Tech's pass rush should be an X-factor, with both David Bailey and Romello Height ranking top 20 in sacks.
Tech is 9-0 against Power Four teams when QB Behren Morton plays.
Score prediction: Texas Tech 24, Oregon 20
🙌 Best Oregon vs. Texas Tech touchdown pick: Orange Bowl
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Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon: Anytime TD (+175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Though points will be hard to come by for Oregon against Texas Tech's dominant defense, tight end Kenyon Sadiq is the biggest mismatch.
The projected top 20 pick is the freakiest tight end in college football, with his size and physicality being too much for defensive backs and his explosiveness and short-area quickness leaving linebackers in the dust.
With Oregon's wide receiver injuries this season, Sadiq has been Dante Moore's favorite target, too. Moore has a 145.5 NFL QB rating when throwing to his tight end and has targeted him 6.5 times per game in his last four games.
Sadiq leads the country in receiving touchdowns among tight ends (8) and has scored at least once in six of 12 games.
📝 Top NFL draft prospects for Orange Bowl
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| Player | Position | Key stats | NFL draft grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Moore, Oregon | QB | Top 5 in the country in big-time throw rate (7.8%) | Top 10 |
| David Bailey, Texas Tech | EDGE | Leads the Power Four in sacks (13.5) | Round 1 |
| Kenyon Sadiq, Oregon | TE | 509 receiving yards, 8 TDs | Round 1 |
| A'Mauri Washington, Oregon | IDL | 19 run stops, 4.5 TFLs | Round 1-2 |
| Emmanuel Pregnon, Oregon | OG | 0 sacks, 3 pressures | Round 2-3 |
| Matayo Uiagalelei, Oregon | EDGE | Top 25 in the country in pressures (47) | Round 2-3 |
| Jacob Rodriguez, Texas Tech | LB | 117 tackles, 11 TFLs, 4 INTs, 7 FF | Round 3-4 |
| Lee Hunter, Texas Tech | IDL | 16 run stops, 8.5 TFLs | Round 3-4 |
| AJ Holmes Jr., Texas Tech | IDL | 14 run stops, 9 TFLs | Round 3-4 |
| Romello Height, Texas Tech | EDGE | Top 10 in the country in pressures (58) | Round 3-4 |
📊 Live Oregon vs. Texas Tech odds: Orange Bowl
Oregon vs. Texas Tech opening odds
- Moneyline: Oregon -120 | Texas Tech +100
- Spread: Oregon -1 (-115) | Texas Tech +1 (-105)
- Over/Under: Over 53 (+100) | Under 53 (-137)
📈 Oregon vs. Texas Tech betting trends
| Oregon | Statistic | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| 12-1 | W-L record | 12-1 |
| 7-5-1 | ATS record | 11-2 |
| 7-6 | O/U record | 5-8 |
| 7.2 | Yards per play | 6.4 |
| 4.4 | Yards allowed per play | 4.0 |
| +0.5 | Turnover margin | +1.3 |
| 5-0 | Last 5 games | 5-0 |
| W, 51-34 vs. James Madison | Previous result | W, 34-7 vs. BYU |
📺 How to watch Oregon vs. Texas Tech: College Football Playoff
- Date: Thursday, Jan. 1
- Kickoff: Noon ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami)
- TV: ESPN
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