Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State Player Props: Best Bets & TD Picks for the Egg Bowl
Last Updated: November 27, 2025 12:48 PM EST • 3 minute read X Social Google News Link
Let’s dive into the best Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State player props as our college football Week 14 predictions continue. This year’s Egg Bowl is scheduled for Black Friday from Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Miss., at noon ET (ABC).
No. 7 Ole Miss is a 7.5-point betting favorite for this road matchup. Ole Miss needs to keep winning with a trip to the postseason likely in the cards, so let’s see who might make our best college football player prop bets for Black Friday.
✅ Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State player prop bets
See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 14.
💵 Best Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State player prop bets
- Trinidad Chambliss player prop: Under 272.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Kewan Lacy player prop: Under 121.5 rushing yards (-117 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Brenen Thompson player prop: Anytime TD scorer (+145 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
💰 Best Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State player props
⬇️ Trinidad Chambliss player prop: Under 272.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Ole Miss is in disarray, largely due to head coach Lane Kiffin and his likely departure from Oxford. One has to wonder what the effects on the locker room will be – especially the effects on Kiffin’s vaunted passing scheme.
Chambliss is averaging an impressive 288.7 passing yards per game since taking the starting job, but he has only started two SEC road games. Those starts saw his passing efficiency score drop from 157.4 at home to 122.7 on the road, completing only 53.8% of his throws.
Mississippi State has two things to play for on Friday: bowl eligibility and spoiling its rival’s season. Look for its average passing defense, which ranks 55th in yards allowed per passing attempt, to show out. Buy the Under 272.5 for -114 (53.3% implied win) at FanDuel, and profit $8.77 on a winning $10 bet.
⬇️ Kewan Lacy player prop: Under 121.5 rushing yards (-117) ⭐⭐⭐
I wanted to buy the Over on Kewan Lacy because Mississippi State’s awful defensive line ranks last in the SEC in defensive line yards, but I can’t stomach a prop total this high. Everything has to go right for Ole Miss and Lacy for this bet to hit. Lacy has gone over this number in only three of his seven SEC games.
The trick is that this is a road matchup. While Lacy exploded for 138 rushing yards at Kentucky, he stayed under 100 versus Georgia (31) and Oklahoma (78). Mississippi State may not have as strong a defense as those schools, but I trust them not to let Lacy run roughshod as they look to secure a bowl game berth.
Buy the Under 121.5 for -117 (53.9%) at Caesars and hope the Bulldogs put up a fight, allowing you to profit $8.55 on a winning $10 bet.
6️⃣ Best Egg Bowl touchdown scorer bet
🔥 Brenen Thompson TD pick: anytime TD scorer (+145) ⭐⭐⭐
If Mississippi State is going to put up a fight on Friday, wide receiver Brenen Thompson will need to find the end zone. Thompson scored twice in the near-miss versus Texas and leads the team in receiving touchdowns (6). He also ran for a score earlier in the year.
Thompson may not have the frame of an elite boundary receiver, but he has the shiftiness and speed necessary to find the end zone, which is why he averages an impressive 18.5 yards per reception. He also excels at home, where he has scored six of his seven touchdowns.
With the Bulldogs’ season on the line, let’s trust Thompson to find paydirt for +145 (40.8%) at DraftKings.
💡 More Week 14 predictions
Want more college football betting advice? Check out all of our college football analysis and expert predictions for Week 14.
📊 Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State anytime touchdown scorer odds
See live college football odds for every game in Week 14.
🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet
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📺 How to watch Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State
- Date: Friday, Nov. 28
- Kickoff: Noon ET
- Location: Davis Wade Stadium (Starkville, Miss.)
- TV: ABC
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