Oklahoma vs. Texas Prediction: Opening Odds & Early Picks for College Football Week 7

Our Oklahoma vs. Texas prediction expects a defensive struggle in this year's Red River Rivalry.
Oklahoma vs. Texas Prediction: Opening Odds & Early Picks for College Football Week 7
Pictured: Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) walks out of the tunnel with running back Quintrevion Wisner (5). Photo by Matt Pendleton via Imagn Images.

My best Oklahoma vs. Texas prediction based on the opening odds for Saturday’s 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC) game at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas focuses on the defensive prowess of both teams. Despite suffering their second loss last week, the Longhorns are favored by 2.5 or 3 points, though Oklahoma covering is one of the public’s favorite (73%) early picks for the Red River Rivalry.

When making my college football picks, I’m focusing on the total instead of the spread for what I expect to be a low-scoring game. For more on this game and all of the week's top matchups, check out our college football predictions for Week 7.


🏈 Early Oklahoma vs. Texas prediction & best bet

Stay ahead with the rest of our early college football predictions for Week 7.

⬇️ Under 42.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

Texas allowing 29 points to a Florida offense that hadn’t scored more than 16 in an FBS game is worrying. However, Texas is still allowing just 12 points per game, which ranks fifth in the nation. The defense held Ohio State to just 14 in Week 1.

Oklahoma is averaging 33.8 points per game, but it managed just 24 against Auburn and Michigan. Oklahoma is allowing just 7.2 points per game, which ranks second in the country. Considering how much Arch Manning and the Texas offense have struggled, I don’t anticipate them being the first team to score more than 17 against Oklahoma.

Under 42.5 is available for -110 at four of the five best sports betting sites, including BetMGM. The odds imply a 52.38% chance this game goes Under. A $10 bet would pay $9.09.


📺️ How to watch Oklahoma vs. Texas

When: Saturday, Oct. 11 @ 3:30 p.m. ET

Where: Cotton Bowl (Dallas)

TV: ABC


📊 Oklahoma vs. Texas odds: Week 7

Latest college football odds updated live in real time.

📈 Oklahoma vs. Texas opening odds

  • Moneyline: Oklahoma +135 | Texas -160
  • Spread: Oklahoma +3 (-110) | Texas -3 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 42.5 (-110) | Under 42.5 (-110)

💡 Oklahoma vs. Texas odds analysis

I don’t know who Texas is yet, so I wouldn’t bet this spread no matter what. That said, the number has already dropped to 2.5 at FanDuel, and with over 70% of bettors backing Oklahoma, I expect this number to continue to shrink. If you’re on Texas, wait to wager.As for the total, 56% of bettors back the Over, but the total hasn’t increased anywhere. While this number may go up to 43 or 43.5, the movement won’t be significant enough for Under bettors. Therefore, there’s no benefit to waiting to wager.


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