Notre Dame vs. Miami Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks Today: College Football Week 1 Best Bets
My Notre Dame vs. Miami prediction for today's second of two college football Week 1 matchups backs last season's national championship finalists to cover the 2.5-point spread. The Fighting Irish and Hurricanes will take to the field at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff on ABC.
My college football picks like Notre Dame and the Under (50.5) in what's projected as a tight matchup. Matt Jacob's Notre Dame vs. Miami player prop bets break down what we can expect from the biggest stars in today's game as Miami moves on from QB Cam Ward with Carson Beck making his first start with the program after transferring from Georgia.
I aim for a bigger payday with my Notre Dame vs. Miami parlay picks for tonight's game.
🏈 Notre Dame vs. Miami expert picks & predictions today
College football odds subject to change:
- Moneyline pick: Notre Dame (-142 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Notre Dame -2.5 (-122 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 50.5 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📝 Notre Dame vs. Miami preview & best bet
Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.
⬇️ 50.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Notre Dame and Miami were both among the most prolific teams in the country on Overs a year ago, but circumstances have changed with both offenses ushering in new quarterbacks.
Miami’s swap from Cam Ward to game-manager Carson Beck (Georgia) will be a notable downgrade, especially against a Notre Dame defense that ranked third in the nation in allowing only 15.5 points per game. Notre Dame’s offense should play ball control similar to when it held the 109th-ranked offensive pace (28.0 seconds per play) a year ago, suppressing the score in an Irish road win.
While all of our best sports betting sites list the number at 50.5 as of publish time, BetMGM and DraftKings provide a slight edge with -105 odds on Under instead of -110. A winning $10 wager on this bet would pay out a profit of $9.52.
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💰 Best Notre Dame vs. Miami player prop bet
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⬇️ Carson Beck Under 239.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Notre Dame’s pass defense ranked fourth in the nation in 2024, allowing just 169.4 passing yards per game to its opponents. Though the Irish will operate under a new defensive coordinator after Al Golden’s departure for the NFL, head coach Marcus Freeman’s defensive-minded tendencies should represent a guiding hand over this unit.
That makes it difficult to project a robust passing day for Carson Beck in his Miami debut. The line on Beck’s passing yardage sits between 238.5 and 239.5 across our best sports betting apps, with the best odds for Under bettors coming from FanDuel at -114 on Under 239.5 yards. A winning $10 bet on this prop would profit $8.77.
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👀 Notre Dame vs. Miami betting report
Here's how the betting action is coming in on Notre Dame vs. Miami at BetMGM as of Sunday morning:
| Market | Opening Line | Current Line | % Bets | % Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ND -1.5 / MIA +1.5 | ND -3 / MIA +3 | 73% / 27% | 66% / 34% |
| Total (O/U) | 53.5 | 50.5 | O 34% / U 66% | O 40% / U 60% |
| Moneyline (ML) | ND -150 / MIA +125 | ND -145 / MIA +120 | 51% / 49% | 59% / 41% |
📊 Notre Dame vs. Miami odds: Week 1
College football odds update live in real time.
📈 Notre Dame vs. Miami betting odds analysis
After opening at -1.5, we have seen Notre Dame move to -2.5 across the best college football betting sites, while some even have pushed the Irish to the key number of -3. Two-thirds of spread bets have come in on Notre Dame, but we would be surprised to see enough action on that side to push this line beyond -3 leading up to game time on Sunday night.
If it gets to -3.5, suddenly Miami would be an interesting angle on the spread in a game that the Hurricanes could conceivably lose by a field goal.
Latest Notre Dame vs. Miami odds
The spread has grown to Notre Dame -3 at BetMGM as of Sunday morning, but with -115 betting odds on Miami to cover +3 and either lose by 1 or 2 points, or win outright.
The Over/Under sits at 50.5 points with -110 odds on both sides of the line. The total could still move as we get closer to kickoff in primetime.
🔢 Notre Dame vs. Miami stats
Season stats courtesy of sports-reference.com.
| Notre Dame (2024 stats) | Statistic (per game) | Miami (2024 stats) |
|---|---|---|
| 36.1 | Points | 43.9 |
| 15.5 | Points allowed | 25.3 |
| +1.1 | Turnover margin | +0.2 |
| 198.1 | Passing yards | 348.2 |
| 200.9 | Rushing yards | 188.9 |
| 169.4 | Passing yards allowed | 214.4 |
| 138.1 | Rushing yards allowed | 112.8 |
| +2.0 | Net yards per play | +2.3 |
🚑 Notre Dame vs. Miami injuries
📺 Notre Dame vs. Miami game info
- When: Sunday, Aug. 31
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Fla.
- How to watch: ABC
- Weather: 76 degrees, 65% chance of precipitation, wind 5 mph SW
- Favorite: Notre Dame (-142 via DraftKings)
❓ Notre Dame vs. Miami FAQs
Who is favored to win Notre Dame vs. Miami?
Notre Dame is favored to win the game with moneyline odds of -142 at DraftKings.
What is the spread for Notre Dame vs. Miami?
Notre Dame is -2.5 on the spread in this matchup, after opening as a 1.5-point favorite. The Fighting Irish will need to win by 3 or more points in order to cover.
What is the Over/Under for Notre Dame vs. Miami?
The Over/Under sits at 50.5 across our best sportsbooks, which is down several points after opening at 53.5.
What are the best bets for Notre Dame vs. Miami?
My best bets for Notre Dame vs. Miami are Under 50.5 on the game total and Under 239.5 passing yards for Miami QB Carson Beck.
When is the Notre Dame vs. Miami game?
Notre Dame vs. Miami kicks off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
How do college football odds work?
When betting on college football, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -3 must win by more than 3 points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +3 must win outright or lose by fewer than 3 points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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