New Mexico vs. Michigan Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks Tonight: College Football Week 1 Best Bets
My best New Mexico vs. Michigan prediction expects a lopsided affair tonight when the action from Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Mich., gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock). Not many college football picks back the Lobos, as 68% of bettors are taking No. 14 Michigan to cover as a 34.5-point home betting favorite.
Wolverines true freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood will start, as he tries to breathe life into an offense that averaged just 22 points per game last season. For additional coverage of this game and others this weekend, check out all our college football predictions for Week 1.
🏈 New Mexico vs. Michigan expert picks & predictions
College football expert picks made Friday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Michigan (-10000 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Michigan -34.5 (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 49.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📝 New Mexico vs. Michigan preview & best bet
Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.
⬇️ Under 49.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Only four of Michigan’s games resulted in more than 49.5 points last season, and the highest total was 56. The idea of Underwood excelling immediately is exciting, but even against a defense that allowed 38 points per game last season, I don’t expect his team to score seven touchdowns.
And the Wolverines will have to do all the scoring in this game. Last season, the Wolverines’ defense played great down the stretch, allowing 13 or fewer points in their final three games. New Mexico starting quarterback Jack Layne, a transfer from Idaho, is going to struggle significantly against the best defense he’s ever played.
The best play of this game is New Mexico Under 6.5 for +116 at FanDuel. However, for a standard Over/Under, the best price and total combo is Under 49.5 for -110 at BetMGM. That implies a 52.38% chance the Under hits, and a $10 bet would pay $9.09.
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💰 Best New Mexico vs. Michigan player prop bet
Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Bryce Underwood Over 204.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
After Week 1, Michigan fans are going to be very happy with Underwood, as he lights up a bottom-10 pass defense from a season ago. The Wolverines averaged only 129.1 passing yards per game last season, and while I expect the improvement with Underwood to be immense, the Lobos’ pass defense will help a lot in Week 1.
There’s always a concern in lopsided games that starters will get pulled in a blowout, but I expect Underwood to stay in for a few reasons. One, this is the perfect team to build confidence against, and two, the Michigan home crowd needs to know this offense will be better than last year’s.
FanDuel is giving Underwood a 53.27% chance of hitting this Over. It’d be nice if the price were a little better, as a $10 bet only pays a $8.77 profit, but I’ll take the average price in a phenomenal matchup.
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📊 New Mexico vs. Michigan odds: Week 1
College football odds update live in real time.
📈 New Mexico vs. Michigan betting odds analysis
All line movement has been against what the public is backing. The vast majority of bettors (58%) are backing the Over, and yet, the total can be found as low as 48.5. Meanwhile, 66% of bettors are backing the Wolverines to cover the spread, which can be found across the board at -34.5 and hasn't moved during the week.
🔢 New Mexico vs. Michigan stats (2024)
Season stats courtesy of sports-reference.com.
| New Mexico | Statistic (per game) | Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| 33.5 | Points | 22.0 |
| 38.0 | Points allowed | 19.9 |
| -0.8 | Turnover margin | -0.1 |
| 230.7 | Passing yards | 129.1 |
| 253.6 | Rushing yards | 157.2 |
| 279.2 | Passing yards allowed | 216.3 |
| 212.9 | Rushing yards allowed | 90.7 |
| +0.1 | Net yards per play | -0.2 |
🚑 New Mexico vs. Michigan injuries
📺 New Mexico vs. Michigan game info
- When: Saturday, Aug. 30
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Michigan Stadium (Ann Arbor, Mich.)
- How to watch: NBC & Peacock
❓ New Mexico vs. Michigan FAQs
Who is favored to win New Mexico vs. Michigan?
The Wolverines are massive favorites, and only a handful of sportsbooks are even offering a price for them to win outright. The best available is -10000 at FanDuel.
What is the spread for New Mexico vs. Michigan?
The Wolverines opened as 36.5-point favorites, but the spread has dropped to 34.5.
What is the Over/Under for New Mexico vs. Michigan?
The total is currently set at 49.5 at every major sportsbook.
What are the best bets for New Mexico vs. Michigan?
The best bets for the New Mexico vs. Michigan game are Under 49.5 and Bryce Underwood to throw for at least 204.5 passing yards.
When is the New Mexico vs. Michigan game?
New Mexico vs. Michigan will take place on Saturday, Aug. 30, at 7:30 p.m. ET at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, Mich. It can be watched on NBC and Peacock.
How do college football odds work?
When betting on college football, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -3 must win by more than 3 points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +3 must win outright or lose by fewer than 3 points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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