College Football Player Props, Odds Week 10: Predictions & Picks
We aim to get back on track with our college football player props for Week 10 based on the best NCAAF odds.
Week 9 was our worst showing of the season in terms of college football player props, but it didn't look as bad as the final results might have indicated. Two of our of top player props missed by a combined four yards, and another failed by just one play.
Despite this, our player props column is still up on the season and looking to finish on a strong note by bouncing back in Week 10.
To complement our college football best for Saturday, here are our best college football player props for Week 10, and don't miss our Shedeur Sanders player props spotlight (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
College football player props for Week 10
- DJ Giddens Over 1.5 receptions (-102 via Barstool) - Kansas State vs. Texas ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Ollie Gordon Under 10.5 yards for longest reception (-122 via Barstool) - Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Daniel Hishaw Jr. Over 0.5 rushing touchdowns (+170 via DraftKings) - Kansas vs. Iowa State ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Gunnar Watson to finish with 250-plus passing yards (-120 via bet365) - Troy vs. South Alabama ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✔️
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College football player props for Saturday Week 10
DJ Giddens Over 1.5 receptions (-102 via Barstool) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Barstool Sportsbook will be replaced by ESPN BET on Nov. 14, so we must take advantage of these markets before they are gone. One of the things I really enjoy about Barstool is that it's the only shop to offer volume-related props for college football, whereas the rest of the market focuses on production such as touchdowns and yardage.
This is an example of how to use that to our advantage. DJ Giddens has emerged as a multi-threat tailback for Kansas State, with his ability to make an impact as a runner and receiver. He has a receiving yardage of 10.5, with the Over juiced as much as -137 at our best sports betting sites.
By shopping at Barstool, we can simply bet on the usage for Giddens at a much better price. He has cleared 10.5 receiving yards in five of his last six games, but he has also snagged multiple receptions in each of those five outings. Over that span, Giddens has recorded 19 receptions for 233 yards.
Texas is arguably the best defense that K-State has faced to this point, but we are still counting on Giddens to be involved in the passing attack to help alleviate any pressure on quarterback Will Howard.
For more on Giddens and other college football player props, see our college football expert picks for Week 10.
Ollie Gordon Under 10.5 yards for longest reception (-122 via Barstool) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
How about another receiving prop for a Big 12 running back, exclusively at Barstool? This time we are taking the Under on the longest reception for Oklahoma State running back Ollie Gordon II in a Bedlam rivalry game against Oklahoma.
Gordon, a sophomore, has been a beast for a Cowboys squad that has caught everyone by surprise during their current four-game win streak. Gordon has posted at least 121 rushing yards in five straight contests, racking up 978 rushing yards over that span.
But Gordon hasn't been quite as dominant as a receiving threat out of the backfield. He's averaging 9.6 yards per reception on 21 catches on the year, but most of that damage came from a 22-yard catch in the season opener and a 50-yard play against Kansas. Aside from that, Gordon's longest catch has been just eight yards.
Gordon's receiving prop has been set at 17.5 across the board, but we prefer this angle against an Oklahoma defense that has done a solid job of limiting explosive plays to opposing tailbacks so far this season.
Daniel Hishaw Jr. Over 0.5 rushing touchdowns (+170 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
For regular readers of this player props column, this might be a familiar play. That's because the best sportsbooks are still not correctly pricing the touchdown odds for Kansas running back Daniel Hishaw Jr.
For starters, Hishaw is a touchdown machine for an explosive Kansas offense. He has scored eight times already this season, including a two-touchdown effort against Oklahoma last time out. Hishaw has scored in six of his eight games this season, and 11 of his last 13 contests dating back to last season.
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Barstool has priced Hishaw's anytime touchdown odds at +148, which still shows a bit of value based on our current projection. But we prefer taking the extra boost at DraftKings, which has listed an Over/Under on rushing and receiving touchdowns for select players in this game.
Hishaw is +170 to score a rushing touchdown, which will be how he scores if he finds paydirt on Saturday. Hishaw has only one receiving touchdown in his career at Kansas, and he has just one catch this season. Hishaw is the preferred red-zone back, however, so he will certainly get his opportunity as a runner — if Kansas gets within striking distance against Iowa State.
Saturday college football player props made 11/03/2023 at 3:03 p.m. ET.
College football player props for Thursday Week 10
Gunnar Watson to finish with 250-plus passing yards (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✔️
Troy quarterback Gunnar Watson has seen his passing yardage prop jump by more than 10 yards across our best sports betting apps. Bettors are right to assume Troy will have better success through the air than on the ground against South Alabama, which ranks 73rd in PFF's coverage grade and 37th in run defense grade.
The best way to scoop up any value on Watson at this point is by shopping at bet365. While the rest of the market has pushed his passing yardage prop up to 253 or higher, you can still get an Over/Under of 251.5 at bet365. With the juice priced at -115 on each side, we prefer to place this bet through the alternate market instead after missing out multiple props by two yards last week. FanDuel offers -122 on this same prop, while DraftKings has a -130 value on this line.
Still, projections suggest that Watson will clear 260 passing yards in a game that Troy is favored by more than a field goal. He has finished with 250-plus passing yards in four of his last six games, with the two exceptions being comfortable wins against Army and Arkansas State in which he attempted 21 passes in each contest.
Assuming Watson is closer to his season average of 30.8 pass attempts per game on Thursday, he should be able to deliver enough production to cash this bet. After all, he's coming off a 398-yard performance against Texas State last time out.
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Gunnar Watson college football player props made 11/02/2023 at 12:20 p.m. ET.
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Related pages
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