College Football Parlay Predictions, Odds Week 7: Will LSU’s Defense Finally Show Up?
Our Week 7 college football parlay approaches +600 odds and is based on the NCAAF odds from our best sports betting apps. A single bad quarter from Washington State sunk our Week 6 parlay, but we’re setting our sights on an even bigger payout this time around.
Each of our Week 7 college football parlay legs involve Unders.
The trio consists of a quarterback injury heavily impacting the first game, weather playing a significant factor in another matchup, and the final leg is a contrarian play involving one of the country’s worst statistical defenses.
Here are our best college football parlay predictions for Week 7 (odds via our best college football betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
College football parlay predictions: Week 7
(Odds via DraftKings)
- NC State-Duke Under 47 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Michigan State-Rutgers Under 40.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Auburn-LSU Under 62.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +595 via DraftKings
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College football parlay Week 7
NC State-Duke Under 47 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Blue Devils quarterback Riley Leonard suffered what appeared to be a gruesome ankle injury during the team’s final snap of its Week 5 loss to Notre Dame. Leonard’s status for Saturday is uncertain coming off a bye week. But he couldn't put any weight on his leg after the injury and walked off the field on crutches, which doesn't bode well for his chances to play.
Leonard is vital to what the team does offensively as one of the nation's best dual-threat quarterbacks. Not only has he thrown for 912 yards and three touchdowns, but he's the school’s leading rusher with 326 yards on the ground (averaging 6.9 yards per carry) and four rushing touchdowns. This line will plummet if Leonard is inactive, as the quarterbacking duties would be left for redshirt freshman Henry Belin IV, who has attempted just 13 career passes.
NC State is coming off a game against Marshall when 89 combined points were scored, but that won't sway us ahead of Week 7. Wolfpack quarterback MJ Morris threw for four touchdowns and completed four passes of 30-plus yards during his first career start (he replaced the ineffective Brennan Armstrong). But the Blue Devils' secondary is a strength while ranking 28th in passing down success rate.
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Michigan State-Rutgers Under 40.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The forecast for Piscataway, New Jersey calls for a 92% chance of rain on Saturday, with more than an inch expected to fall and wind speed picking up as the day progresses. That plays directly into Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano’s game plan, as he loves nothing more than old-fashioned slugfests that become battles of running games and field position.
Rutgers runs the ball at the 14th-highest rate in the country, but the school ranks just 69th in rushing play explosiveness. Meanwhile, Michigan State sits 11th in the Big Ten in scoring while averaging 21.6 points per game. But the poor weather will negate the most successful part of its offense, as the Spartans boast the conference’s third-ranked passing attack that averages 251.4 yards per game.
If this turns into a battle in the trenches, we don't expect a Michigan State offense with the 41st-worst stuff rate that ranks outside the top 100 in line yards to move the ball consistently.
Auburn-LSU Under 62.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is our most contrarian play of the three-leg parlay, as the Over is 6-0 during LSU’s six games in 2023 while cashing in 10 consecutive contests involving the Tigers dating back to 2022.
However, facing Auburn’s offense will provide the LSU defense with an opportunity to get right after the gauntlet of high-powered offenses the team has opposed over the last two weeks (Ole Miss and Missouri).
LSU ranks outside the top 100 in success rate allowed and 124th or worse in finishing drives allowed and EPA per play allowed. However, Auburn runs the ball on nearly two-thirds of its offensive plays, which should help bleed the clock and limit possessions, even if the school ranks in the top 10 in rushing success rate.
We also have faith in Auburn's defense slowing down Jayden Daniels. He's on a torrid pace while recording 147 more passing yards and 318 more rushing yards than reigning Heisman winner Caleb Williams, despite facing the third-toughest schedule (compared to USC’s 68th-ranked strength of schedule). However, Auburn allows fewer than seven yards per attempt to opposing quarterbacks. The unit is also stingy while defending its side of the field, ranking 36th in finishing drives allowed.
This is a four-star play, as Daniels went just 8-of-20 passing for 80 yards against Auburn in 2022, and the Tigers held him to his third-worst QBR (61.0) in any game last season.
College football parlay picks made 10/10/2023 at 4:27 p.m. ET.
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