College Football National Championship Odds: Chaos and Upsets Shake the Race After Week 6

The college football season is starting to feel a lot like 2007, with the constant shuffle of the college football national championship odds following multiple major upsets over the first six weeks of the season.

Entering Week 6, both Penn State and Texas were ranked top 10 in the country and carried championship odds no longer than +800. Both programs lost to unranked teams and now look like longer shots to win the national title.

However, Ohio State and Oregon remain atop the college football national championship odds after Week 6, while Alabama and Miami continue to look like the only other programs worth backing with your college football picks.

📊 Live college football national championship odds 2025-26

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🚨 National championship odds movement after Week 6

• Following a 42-3 win over Minnesota, Ohio State (+525 to +450) remains the college football national championship odds favorite
• Though Oregon (+600 to +550) still sits No. 2 on the board, despite being on a bye in Week 6, the biggest riser this week is Miami (+1400 to +900) after it took down Florida State on the road
• Even with Alabama beating Vanderbilt in convincing fashion, and Ty Simpson being among the Heisman Trophy odds favorites, the Crimson Tide only saw their odds shorten from +850 to +800
• Behind another poor performance from Arch Manning, Texas fell from being the third-biggest favorite (+800) to being the sixth-biggest favorite (+1800)
• Penn State (+800 to +3500) slid down even further than Texas after UCLA, led by interim head coach Tim Skipper and interim play caller Jerry Neuheisel, upset the Nittany Lions 42-37
• Georgia (remained at +1000), Ole Miss (+2000 to +1800), Oklahoma (+2000 to +1800), Texas A&M (+2500 to +2000), Notre Dame (+3000 to +2500), and LSU (+2500 to +2800) were among the marquee programs that saw minimal movement

❓ College football national championship FAQs

Who is the college football national championship odds favorite?

Ohio State (+450) is the college football national championship odds favorite. The Buckeyes' odds imply an 18.18% probability that they'll win the title for the second straight season.

When will the college football national championship be decided?

The 2026 college football national championship will be decided on Monday, Jan. 19.

When does the College Football Playoff start?

The 2025-2026 College Football Playoff begins Friday, Dec. 19, with the first of four first-round games; the other three will be played Saturday, Dec. 20. The quarterfinal games will then be played on Wednesday, Dec. 31, and Thursday, Jan. 1.

The semifinal games will be Thursday, Jan. 8, and Friday, Jan. 9, with the championship game slated for Monday, Jan. 19, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla.