Navy vs. Notre Dame Prediction & Opening Odds for College Football Week 11

Navy is coming off its first loss of the season, and the Midshipmen will try to beat No. 10 Notre Dame for the first time since 2016 as I dive into my Navy vs. Notre Dame prediction and early picks.

The opening odds feature the Fighting Irish as anywhere from 24.5 to 25.5-point betting favorites ahead of kickoff from Notre Dame Stadium at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday night (NBC/Peacock). 

My college football Week 11 predictions think this point spread is too large, and I’m backing the Midshipmen before the spread lowers after Notre Dame’s uninspiring performance last week.

🏈 Early Navy vs. Notre Dame prediction & betting preview

Stay ahead with the rest of our early college football picks for Week 11.

⚓️ Navy +25.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

Notre Dame didn't come close to covering as 30.5-point road favorites at Boston College last week, as it only held a one-possession lead minutes into the fourth quarter.

The Fighting Irish feature serious flaws despite pundits universally believing they're a College Football Playoff team if Notre Dame runs the table. Three different Notre Dame kickers missed kicks last week (two extra points and one field goal), and the squad logged nearly 11 fewer minutes of possession than a now 1-8 Boston College outfit.

Time of possession could be a real issue against a ball-control Navy team that's annually one of the leaders in that metric. And the Midshipmen boast a much more versatile offense compared to the triple-option-heavy approaches of years past if they fall behind early in this game, with Blake Horvath throwing for over 1,110 yards and seven touchdowns.

BetMGM is alone among the best sports betting sites while offering Navy +25.5 at the standard -110 juice and 52.38% implied odds. A $10 winning wager would net $9.09 in profit.

📊 Live Navy vs. Notre Dame odds: Week 11

See the latest college football odds for every game in Week 11.

🔢 Navy vs. Notre Dame opening odds

• Moneyline: Navy -1400 | Notre Dame +4000
• Spread: Navy +25.5 (-110) | Notre Dame -25.5 (-110)
• Over/Under: Over 55.5 (-110) | Under 55.5 (-110)

↔️ Navy vs. Notre Dame line movement

Notre Dame has covered the spread in three of the previous four meetings when it's been at least a two-touchdown favorite against Navy. I predict the best sports betting apps currently at -24.5 will at least align with the others at -25.5 before kickoff.

There's a one-point gap in the total from 55.5 on the low end to 56.5 on the high end of the market. Early forecasts call for temperatures in the low 30s with a 25% chance of precipitation in South Bend on Saturday night. If that forecast worsens, 56.5 is likely the ceiling for the total.

📈 Navy vs. Notre Dame trends & betting notes

• Notre Dame has won 12 of its last 13 matchups against Navy, including six 25-plus-point wins
• Notre Dame is 4-1 against the spread during the last five meetings in this series
• Fighting Irish running back Jeremiyah Love boasts the second-best Heisman Trophy odds of any non-quarterback, and the ninth-shortest odds overall
• Notre Dame has scored 34-plus points in each of the last six meetings with Navy, topping 50 twice

📺 How to watch Navy vs. Notre Dame

• Date: Saturday, Nov. 8
• Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Notre Dame Stadium (Notre Dame, Ind.)
• TV: NBC/Peacock