Michigan vs. Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Picks Today: Pressure to Squeeze Underwood
It’s a key Big Ten showdown as my Michigan vs. Nebraska prediction sees value on the Cornhuskers at home today.
Despite Michigan as a 1.5-point betting favorite, our college football picks lean into the early trend of Nebraska’s dominance in Lincoln while fading Michigan after its biggest dud of the season to this point came in a tough road environment.
The action for Michigan vs. Nebraska kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET from Memorial Stadium in Lincoln, Neb. (CBS).
Michigan vs. Nebraska prediction to win
College football expert odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Nebraska (+105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Nebraska +1.5 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 47.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Michigan vs. Nebraska best bet
Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.
Nebraska +1.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Nebraska has outscored opponents 127-7 in two home games while Michigan took an 11-point loss to Oklahoma in its only road contest.
Despite failing to cover the spread in the opening win at Cincinnati, Nebraska still boasts a +11.7 per game ATS margin, which ranks inside the top 20 nationally. Michigan is 1-2 ATS and didn’t cover in its only previous Power 4 matchup.
At publish time, the best odds available for Nebraska +1.5 sit at -105 at BetMGM, with an implied probability at those odds of 51.22%. A winning $10 bet would profit $9.52.
Best Michigan vs. Nebraska player prop pick
Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
Bryce Underwood Under 180.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Especially considered his true freshman status, Bryce Underwood has held his own at the helm for Michigan through his first three games. But it stands out that his lone lackluster performance came in the road game at Oklahoma.
Bryce Underwood’s inefficiency from that game was glaring. He was 9-of-24 passing (37.5%) for 142 yards. Barring a real adjustment, that data point could spell more trouble against a Nebraska pass defense that has permitted just 66.0 passing yards per game.
The best odds on Underwood’s passing yards Under come from Caesars, with a line of Under 180.5 yards (-115). The implied probability at those odds is 53.49%. A winning $10 bet on this prop would profit $8.70.
Michigan vs. Nebraska odds: Week 4
Michigan vs. Nebraska odds update live in real time.
Michigan vs. Nebraska opening odds
- Moneyline: Michigan -160 | Nebraska +135
- Spread: Michigan -3.5 (-110) | Nebraska +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.5 (-110)
Michigan vs. Nebraska odds analysis
The spread opened at Michigan -3.5 and has been trimmed as of Friday afternoon to Michigan -1.5. We anticipate the number landing with the Wolverines favored by between 1 and 3 points.
The total has seen some action on Over after opening at 44.5. The line has been pushed to 47.5. If Michigan S Rod Moore is confirmed for his return from an ACL recovery this week, that could provide some energy behind the Under. We don’t expect this total climbing much further than 48, if at all.
Most popular college football bets today
Here are the most popular college football Week 4 predictions at BetMGM as of Saturday morning:
| Most bet games (tickets) | Most bet teams (tickets) | Most bet teams (handle) | Most bet totals (tickets) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech at Utah | Oklahoma -6.5 | Texas -39.5 | Texas Tech at Utah Over 57.5 |
| Michigan at Nebraska | Utah -3.5 | Oklahoma -6.5 | Auburn at Oklahoma Over 46.5 |
| Auburn at Oklahoma | Miami -7.5 | Utah -3.5 | Michigan at Nebraska Over 47.5 |
| Illinois at Indiana | Michigan -1.5 | Miami -7.5 | Oregon State at Oregon Over 56.5 |
| Florida at Miami | Illinois +7 | Nebraska +1.5 | Kent State at Florida State Over 55.5 |
College football expert picks
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Michigan vs. Nebraska key stats
Season stats courtesy of Sports Reference.
| Michigan | Statistic (per game) | Nebraska |
|---|---|---|
| 36.7 | Points | 49.0 |
| 14.7 | Points allowed | 8.0 |
| +1.6 | Turnover margin | +1.4 |
| 209.3 | Passing yards | 366.3 |
| 242.7 | Rushing yards | 178.7 |
| 182.3 | Passing yards allowed | 66.0 |
| 89.0 | Rushing yards allowed | 136.0 |
| +2.8 | Net yards per play | +3.9 |
Michigan vs. Nebraska game info
- When: Saturday, Sept. 20
- Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, Neb.)
- How to watch: CBS
Michigan vs. Nebraska FAQs
Who is favored to win Michigan vs. Nebraska?
Michigan is favored to win the matchup of Michigan vs. Nebraska with odds of -118 on the moneyline, down slightly from the opening moneyline odds of Michigan -160.
What is the spread for Michigan vs. Nebraska?
After opening at Michigan -3.5, the spread for Michigan vs. Nebraska is Michigan -1.5 across our top sportsbooks.
What is the Over/Under for Michigan vs. Nebraska?
The Over/Under for Michigan vs. Nebraska is 47.5, as the total has increased throughout the week since opening at 44.5.
What are the best bets for Michigan vs. Nebraska?
My best bets for Michigan vs. Nebraska include Nebraska +1.5 and a player prop bet on Bryce Underwood Under 180.5 passing yards.
When is the Michigan vs. Nebraska game?
Michigan vs. Nebraska will kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS.
How do college football odds work?
When betting on college football, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -3 must win by more than 3 points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +3 must win outright or lose by fewer than 3 points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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