Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo Player Props: Best Bets & TD Picks for Week 13

My best Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo player props focus on Henry Hesson, Al-Jay Henderson, and Jordan Brunson for Wednesday.

Kickoff from UB Stadium in Buffalo, N.Y., is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2), with Miami (OH) listed as a 1.5-point betting favorite. The two main questions entering this game are what Miami (OH) will look like in its second game without starting quarterback Dequan Finn, and who is most likely to score in a game with a projected total of just 39.5. Below, we analyze this matchup as part of our college football predictions for Week 13.

✅ Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo player prop bets

See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 13.

💰 Best Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo player props

⬆️ Henry Hesson player prop: Over 168.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Hesson has only appeared in three games this season, and the only time he threw for more than 168.5 yards was against Lindenwood. On Wednesday, he has to face a defense allowing just 190.5 passing yards per game, but there is actually a lot to like about Hesson’s position.

Last week, Hesson took over for Finn, who departed the Miami (OH) program. He completed just 11 of 38 passes for 147 yards and three interceptions. However, he was facing the MAC’s top pass defense, and he actually threw for more than the 143 passing yards per game it typically allows.

Hesson’s accuracy is a problem, but he’s averaging over 15 yards per completion, so he likely just needs 11 to hit this Over. FanDuel’s price of -114 implies a 53.27% chance that Hesson hits this Over. A $10 bet would pay $8.77.

⬇️ Al-Jay Henderson player prop: Under 64.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐

Henderson has topped 64.5 yards in six of his 10 games this season. While he’s hit that mark in two of his last three games, he only rushed for 39 yards last week against Central Michigan.

Yards per carry have been an issue all season for Henderson. While he’s averaged over six yards per carry in two of his last three, he managed just three yards per carry against UMass, and he’s averaged fewer than four yards per carry four times this season. Miami (OH) is allowing just 3.9 yards per carry, and with Henderson recording 16 or fewer carries in five games this season, I worry he won’t get enough touches in a tough matchup.

FanDuel’s price of -114 implies a 53.27% chance that Henderson hits this Under. A $10 bet would profit $8.77.

6️⃣ Best Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Jordan Brunson TD pick: Anytime TD scorer (+115) ⭐⭐⭐

Brunson has only scored twice this season, and his last touchdown came on Oct. 18. However, he’s carried the ball 111 times this season, and without Finn - who had 89 carries and four touchdowns before leaving the program - competing with him, Brunson will be the featured back in this game.

Buffalo is allowing just 3.4 yards per carry, but Brunson averaged 4.9 last week against a Toledo defense allowing just 2.5. Brunson has averaged at least 4.9 yards per carry in three of his last four, and against a defense that has allowed 11 rushing touchdowns, he’s a legitimate threat to score from anywhere on the field.

The bet365 price of +115 implies a 46.51% chance that Brunson scores. A $10 bet would profit $11.50.

📊 Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live college football odds for every game in Week 13.

📺 How to watch Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo

• Date: Wednesday, Nov. 19
• Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: UB Stadium (Buffalo, N.Y.)
• TV: ESPN2