Louisville vs. Miami Player Prop Picks Tonight: Beck to Struggle in Week 8

My best Louisville vs. Miami player props tonight target the quarterback for the nation's No. 2 team.

My college football picks tonight fade Miami QB Carson Beck, who enters the game as a 13.5-point betting favorite, with kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). My college football predictions for Week 8 expect the running game to perform well, though, and include my top anytime TD scorer from the visiting Cardinals.

🏈 Louisville vs. Miami player props tonight

College football player prop bets for Week 8; odds subject to change.

• Carson Beck Under 251.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Mark Fletcher Jr. Over 68.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
• Chris Bell to score anytime TD (+170 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐

💰 Best Louisville vs. Miami player prop picks

Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬇️ Carson Beck Under 251.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Beck has had a terrific first season in Miami, throwing for 1,213 yards in just five games. However, his high-water marks versus FBS competition came against Notre Dame (205 yards), Florida State (241) and South Florida (340). Among 136 FBS schools, Florida State ranks 63rd against the pass; South Florida is 125th; and Notre Dame is 106th.

Louisville? It yields the eighth-fewest air yards per contest (150.4). The top two passers against the Cardinals so far in 2025: Pitt’s Eli Holstein (228 yards) and Virginia’s Chandler Morris (149 yards). Holstein averaged 278.3 passing yards in three games versus FBS opponents prior to facing Louisville. Morris averaged 282.5 against four previous FBS foes.

Play this Louisville vs. Miami player prop at BetMGM. The implied win probability at -115 odds is 53.49%. Risk $10 to win $8.70.

⬆️ Mark Fletcher Jr. Over 68.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐

Louisville hasn’t done a terrible job defending the run (111.6 yards per game), but the front seven has leaked at times. The Cardinals gave up 83 yards to James Madison QB Mathew Sluka, 79 yards to Bowling Green’s Lucian Anderson III and 68 yards to Virginia’s J’Mari Taylor.

Granted, 75 of Anderson’s yards came on a busted-play touchdown. But Miami’s Mark Fletcher Jr. is no joke — and Louisville knows it: Fletcher rumbled for 73 and 126 yards against the Cardinals in 2024 and 2023, respectively. He also comes into this game hungry, having been held to a season-low 40 yards against Florida State after racking 86-plus yards in each of the three previous contests.

FanDuel has the best number on this Louisville vs. Miami player prop by a wide margin. At -114 odds, the implied win probability is 53.27%, with a successful $10 bet paying $8.77.

6️⃣ Best touchdown scorer pick for Louisville vs. Miami

Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.

🔥 Chris Bell to score anytime TD (+170) ⭐⭐

How productive has Chris Bell been for Louisville? The senior has a team-high 35 receptions; he has nearly twice as many receiving yards (502) as any teammate; and he’s hauled in half of the Cardinals’ eight touchdown passes.

Three of Bell’s four scores came in the last two games. He had one TD (among 10 receptions) in a 34-27 upset of Pitt and scored twice (among 12 receptions) in a 30-27 overtime loss to Virginia two weeks ago. Bell won’t have it easy against an above-average Miami secondary that has yielded just five aerial TDs in five games. But if Louisville finds the end zone Friday night, Bell is the most likely candidate to score.

BetMGM offers the best price on this Louisville vs. Miami player prop. The implied win probability on +170 odds is 37.04%, with a $10 bet paying $17.

📊 Louisville vs. Miami odds

Latest college football odds updated live in real time.

📺 How to watch Louisville vs. Miami tonight

• Date: Friday, Oct. 17
• Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
• TV: ESPN