Kansas vs. Texas Tech Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Football Week 7

My best Kansas vs. Texas Tech prediction focuses on the strength of the Texas Tech offense, ahead of Saturday’s 7:30 p.m. ET (FOX) game at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Texas.

The ninth-ranked Red Raiders are a 14- to 14.5-point betting favorite, depending on the sportsbook. 

One of the betting public’s favorite college football picks for Saturday is the Over in this game, and I agree. Our college football predictions for Week 7 also project Kansas’s Leshon Williams to run for the most yards against Texas Tech this season. 

🏈 Kansas vs. Texas Tech predictions

College football expert picks for Week 7; odds subject to change.

• Game prediction: Kansas +14.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
• Over/Under pick: Over 58.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Player prop bet: Leshon Williams Over 55.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Kansas vs. Texas Tech?

While Texas Tech is allowing just 65.6 rushing yards per game, a lot of that has to do with its opponents and how much it has won by. Kansas is averaging 173 rushing yards per game and 5.2 yards per carry, and I expect it to be the first team to run successfully against the Red Raiders.

Still, Texas Tech’s offense has been unstoppable, and it ranks second in the nation with 48.6 points per game. Considering Kansas has had a hard time against the offenses of Cincinnati and Missouri, I don’t see how it slows down Texas Tech. Texas Tech will pick up its closest win of the year.

Prediction: Texas Tech 38, Kansas 28

✅ Kansas vs. Texas Tech expert pick

Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.

⬆️ Over 58.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Texas Tech has scored at least 34 points in every game this season, including two games with 60 or more points. The only thing preventing this from being a five-star play is that it has also held each of its opponents to 14 points or fewer.

Kansas enters this game averaging 35 points per contest. While the defense has been inconsistent, the offense has scored at least 27 points in all six games and topped 30 points five times. I expect the Jalon Daniels-led Kansas offense to provide the first real test for Texas Tech’s defense, while the Red Raiders’ second-ranked scoring offense puts up plenty of points against a defense that has allowed at least 31 points twice.

A $10 bet at FanDuel would pay $9.09. The -110 odds suggest a 52.38% chance that this Kansas vs. Texas Tech prediction comes true.

💰 Best Kansas vs. Texas Tech player prop bet

Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Leshon Williams Over 55.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Williams is averaging 6.1 yards per carry and has rushed for at least 57 yards in four of his five games this year. Texas Tech is allowing just 2.3 yards per carry, but even if it slows Williams down a bit, he’s still averaged at least 4.8 yards per carry in four of five games.

Texas Tech hasn’t allowed a running back to top 43 yards this season. However, the Red Raiders have also won all of their games by at least 24 points. Kansas is averaging 6.2 more rush attempts than pass attempts per game, so if it stays close, as I think it will, Williams should get at least 10 carries for the fourth consecutive game.

A $10 bet would pay $8.77. FanDuel’s -114 odds imply a 53.27% chance this bet hits.

📊 Kansas vs. Texas Tech odds

Latest college football odds updated live in real time.

📺 How to watch Kansas vs. Texas Tech: Week 7

• Date: Saturday, Oct. 11
• Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Jones AT&T Stadium (Lubbock, Texas)
• TV: FOX